Result
1:3
12/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Clayton ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 68', 0 - 2, Oliver ⚽,
- 90+4', 0 - 3, Clayton ⚽,
- 90+10', 1 - 3, Lucas Cruz ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nova Iguaçu
51.3% | Draw
28.9% | Maricá
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nova Iguaçu's performance.Maricá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maricá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nova Iguaçu that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maricá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nova Iguaçu - Maricá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(2.23) |
3.16 ↑
(3.15) |
4.62 ↑
(2.9) |
9.4%
(11.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Nova Iguaçu - Maricá?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Nova Iguaçu will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nova Iguaçu will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Nova Iguaçu might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nova Iguaçu won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Nova Iguaçu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Nova Iguaçu won against Maricá?
Nova Iguaçu has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Maricá won against Nova Iguaçu?
Maricá has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nova Iguaçu - Maricá were as follows:
03.05.2025
Maricá
-
Nova Iguaçu
1:1
22.01.2025
Maricá
-
Nova Iguaçu
2:0
Latest results of Nova Iguaçu
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lagarto | Central SC | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | Maranhao | 2 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 3 | ASA | Ferroviario | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Manauara | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | AE Altos | Independencia | 3 : 1, 5 : 1 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | Sergipe | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 7 | America RN | Juazeirense | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Imperatriz | Manaus | 1 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Portuguesa | Mixto | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Cianorte | Joinville | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Barra FC | Cascavel | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Ceilandia | Agua Santa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 13 | Aparecidense | Marica | 2 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 14 | EC Sao Jose | Goiatuba | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Inter de Limeira | Marcilio Dias | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Rio Branco ES | Luverdense | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Central SC | Maranhao | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | ASA | Manauara | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | AE Altos | Santa Cruz | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | America RN | Imperatriz | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Mixto | Cianorte | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Barra FC | Ceilandia | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Aparecidense | Goiatuba | 0 : 2, 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Inter de Limeira | Rio Branco ES | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Maranhao | ASA | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | America RN | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Cianorte | Barra FC | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Goiatuba | Inter de Limeira | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Maranhao | Santa Cruz | |
| 2 | Barra FC | Inter de Limeira | |
Final
