Nova Iguaçu vs Maricá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Nova Iguaçu - Maricá
Result
1:3
12/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
104
Corner Kicks
102
Total shots
199
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
95
Corner Kicks
102
Goalkeeper Saves
19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Clayton ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 68', 0 - 2, Oliver ,
  • 90+4', 0 - 3, Clayton ,
  • 90+10', 1 - 3, Lucas Cruz ,

Chances of winning


Nova Iguaçu
51.3%
Draw
28.9%
Maricá
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 28.6% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 27.8% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nova Iguaçu's performance.
  • Maricá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maricá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nova Iguaçu that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maricá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nova Iguaçu - Maricá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (2.23)
    3.16
    (3.15)
    4.62
    (2.9)
    9.4%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Nova Iguaçu - Maricá?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nova Iguaçu will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nova Iguaçu will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Nova Iguaçu might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nova Iguaçu won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Nova Iguaçu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nova Iguaçu - Maricá were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Maricá - Nova Iguaçu 1:1
    22.01.2025 Maricá - Nova Iguaçu 2:0
    Latest results of Nova Iguaçu
    Latest results of Maricá
    05.07.2025 Maricá - Boavista 1:0
    14.06.2025 Porto Vitória - Maricá 0:0
    07.06.2025 Maricá - Água Santa 0:1
    31.05.2025 Água Santa - Maricá 1:1
    24.05.2025 Maricá - Porto Vitória 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao
    2LagartoCentral SC
    3ImperatrizManaus
    4America RNJuazeirense
    5AE AltosIndependencia
    6Santa CruzSergipe
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa
    8ASAFerroviario
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias
    13PortuguesaMixto
    14CianorteJoinville
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0