Result
0:2
23/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Carioca - Relegation Group - Round 3
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (212/286) | 82% (319/390) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (212/286) | 82% (319/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 52% (35/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (45/89) | 64% (63/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 53% (9/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.97 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', Matheus Lira 🟨,
- 27', Henrique Rocha 🟨,
- 35', Willian ↓, Alex Reinaldo ↑,
- 44', 0 - 1, Lucas Costa ⚽, Alex Reinaldo (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Almir Silva ↓, Valdenilson ↑,
- 52', Octavio Manteca ↓, Alex Azeredo ↑,
- 53', Anderson Rosa 🟨,
- 55', Sandro Silva 🟨,
- 60', Henrique Rocha ↓, Alex Moretti ↑,
- 63', 0 - 2, Gutemberg ⚽, Lohan (A),
- 67', Oliver ↓, Magno Souza ↑,
- 67', Matheus Lira ↓, Bernardo ↑,
- 67', Henrique C. 🟨,
- 77', Guilherme Santos 🟨,
- 80', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 81', Marcelo ↓, Caick Vitor ↑,
- 84', Gutemberg ↓, Gustavo Aguiar ↑,
- 84', Joao Paulo ↓, Patrick ↑,
- 84', Uelber ↓, Guilherme Silveira ↑,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+9', 🟨,
- 90+11', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Maricá
36.2% | Draw
31.2% | Portuguesa RJ
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maricá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Portuguesa RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Maricá - Portuguesa RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.5) |
2.92 ↑
(2.8) |
2.8
(2.8) |
9.7%
(11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Maricá - Portuguesa RJ?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Portuguesa RJ (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Portuguesa RJ (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maricá won 2.
- Maricá has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Portuguesa RJ has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Portuguesa RJ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Maricá won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maricá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Maricá won against Portuguesa RJ?
Maricá has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portuguesa RJ won against Maricá?
Portuguesa RJ has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Maricá - Portuguesa RJ were as follows:
18.01.2026
Portuguesa RJ
-
Maricá
0:1
06.09.2025
Portuguesa RJ
-
Maricá
1:1
03.09.2025
Maricá
-
Portuguesa RJ
0:2
16.02.2025
Portuguesa RJ
-
Maricá
3:1
28.08.2024
Portuguesa RJ
-
Maricá
1:2
Latest results of Portuguesa RJ
Draw
Taca Guanabara - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Bangu | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Vasco | Volta Redonda | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Botafogo RJ | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Madureira | Boavista | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Vasco | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | Madureira | 3 : 0 |
Final
