Result
5:2
08/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Carioca - Relegation Group - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Premiere |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (324/385) | 78% (229/294) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (324/385) | 78% (229/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (17/44) | 44% (19/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (59/97) | 64% (54/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.81 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 2.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | -2.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Rhuan Silveira 🟨,
- 18', Almir Silva 🟨,
- 35', Henrique Rocha 🟨,
- 2nd Half (5 - 2)
- 46', Rhuan Silveira ↓, Guilherme Silveira ↑,
- 46', Henrique Rocha ↓, Willian ↑,
- 48', 1 - 0, Guilherme Santos ⚽, Anderson Rosa (A),
- 49', Guilherme Santos 🟨,
- 50', Magno Nunes ↓, Bernardo ↑,
- 50', Matheus Lira ↓, Rafael Lucas ↑,
- 50', Mendes C. 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 0, Gutemberg ⚽, Guilherme Silveira (A),
- 59', Oliver ↓, Valdenilson ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Pablo Thomaz ⚽, Valdenilson (A),
- 68', 2 - 2, Valdenilson ⚽,
- 69', Almir Silva ↓, Vinicius Matheus ↑,
- 71', Lohan 🟨,
- 75', 3 - 2, Willian ⚽, Anderson Rosa (A),
- 76', Willian 🟨,
- 80', Bernardo 🟨,
- 82', 4 - 2, Lohan ⚽, Anderson Rosa (A),
- 84', Anderson Rosa ↓, Leo Muchacho ↑,
- 84', Gutemberg ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 84', Lohan ↓, Albert ↑,
- 90', 5 - 2, Lenon ⚽, Guilherme Silveira (A),
Chances of winning
Portuguesa RJ
32.3% | Draw
28.1% | Maricá
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portuguesa RJ's form might have worsened.Maricá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maricá's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portuguesa RJ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maricá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Portuguesa RJ - Maricá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↑
(2.18) |
3.27 ↑
(3.2) |
2.32 ↓
(3.17) |
9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Portuguesa RJ - Maricá?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Maricá will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa RJ won 3.
- Portuguesa RJ is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Maricá's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Portuguesa RJ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa RJ won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Portuguesa RJ won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Portuguesa RJ won against Maricá?
Portuguesa RJ has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Maricá won against Portuguesa RJ?
Maricá has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portuguesa RJ - Maricá were as follows:
23.02.2026
Maricá
-
Portuguesa RJ
0:2
18.01.2026
Portuguesa RJ
-
Maricá
0:1
06.09.2025
Portuguesa RJ
-
Maricá
1:1
03.09.2025
Maricá
-
Portuguesa RJ
0:2
16.02.2025
Portuguesa RJ
-
Maricá
3:1
Latest results of Portuguesa RJ
Draw
Taca Guanabara - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Bangu | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Vasco | Volta Redonda | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Botafogo RJ | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Madureira | Boavista | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Vasco | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | Madureira | 8 : 0, 3 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Fluminense | Flamengo RJ | 0 : 1 |
