Pouso Alegre vs Maricá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Pouso Alegre - Maricá
28/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
115
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
106
Corner Kicks
115
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Rubim T. ,
  • 45+5', 1 - 1, Jonathan Chula ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Pouso Alegre
38.6%
Draw
30.6%
Maricá
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 26.9% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 28.3% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pouso Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pouso Alegre's form might have worsened.
  • Maricá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pouso Alegre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Pouso Alegre - Maricá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2)
    2.99
    (3.35)
    2.98
    (3.2)
    9.2%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Pouso Alegre - Maricá?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Pouso Alegre could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pouso Alegre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pouso Alegre - Maricá were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Maricá - Pouso Alegre 1:0
    Latest results of Pouso Alegre
    Latest results of Maricá
    14.06.2025 Porto Vitória - Maricá 0:0
    07.06.2025 Maricá - Água Santa 0:1
    31.05.2025 Água Santa - Maricá 1:1
    24.05.2025 Maricá - Porto Vitória 2:1
    17.05.2025 Maricá - Pouso Alegre 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 1