Marie Bouzkova vs Kimberly Birrell – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
17/10/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
73
Double Faults
57
1st Serve Percentage
63%64%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (45/60)70% (48/69)
2nd Serve Points Won
37% (13/35)51% (20/39)
Break Points Saved
67% (6/9)77% (10/13)
1st Return Points Won
32% (22/69)25% (15/60)
2nd Return Points Won
49% (19/39)63% (22/35)
Break Points Converted
23% (3/13)33% (3/9)
Service Points Won
61% (59/97)62% (69/111)
Return Points Won
38% (42/111)39% (38/97)
Total Points Won
49% (101/208)51% (107/208)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
79% (11/14)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)21% (3/14)
Total Games Won
50% (14/28)50% (14/28)

Chances of winning


Marie Bouzkova
81%
Kimberly Birrell
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marie Bouzkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marie Bouzkova's performance.
  • Kimberly Birrell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kimberly Birrell might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marie Bouzkova than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marie Bouzkova that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kimberly Birrell than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kimberly Birrell could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marie Bouzkova - Kimberly Birrell Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.19
    (1.34)

    5.07
    (3.12)
    4%
    (6.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Bouzkova is ranked WTA: 41. Birrell is ranked WTA: 89.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Bouzkova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Marie Bouzkova
    Latest results of Kimberly Birrell
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Bye
    2Wang Xin.Gracheva V. (Q)1 : 2
    3Golubic V. (LL)Joint M.1 : 2
    4Vondrousova M. (RET.)Muchova K. (8)0 : 1
    5Alexandrova E. (3)Bye
    6Charaeva A. (Q)Cristian J.0 : 2
    7Sonobe W. (WC)Bartunkova N. (WC)2 : 0
    8Uchijima M. (WC)Kenin S.0 : 2
    9Shnaider D. (7)Yastremska D.2 : 0
    10Lamens S. (LL)Kalinskaya A.0 : 2
    11Bucsa C. (Q)Kessler M.1 : 2
    12ByeNoskova L. (6)
    13Mboko V. (9)Andreescu B. (WC)2 : 0
    14Boulter K. (Q)Lys E. (Q)0 : 2
    15Fernandez L.Sakkari M. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Gracheva V.2 : 0
    2Joint M.Muchova K. (8)0 : 2
    3Alexandrova E. (3)Cristian J.2 : 0
    4Sonobe W.Kenin S.1 : 2
    5Shnaider D. (7)Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    6Kessler M.Noskova L. (6)1 : 2
    7Mboko V. (9)Lys E.2 : 0
    8Fernandez L.Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Muchova K. (8)2 : 1
    2Alexandrova E. (3)Kenin S.1 : 2
    3Kalinskaya A. (RET.)Noskova L. (6)0 : 1
    4Mboko V. (9)Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Kenin S.2 : 1
    2Noskova L. (WO.) (6)Rybakina E. (2)

    Final
    1Bencic B. (5)Noskova L. (6)2 : 0