Licata vs Mariglianese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group I Licata - Mariglianese
29/01/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Licata
49.6%
Draw
23.8%
Mariglianese
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.5% 23.6% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 22% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Licata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Licata's form might have worsened.
  • Mariglianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mariglianese's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Licata than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Licata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariglianese than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mariglianese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Licata - Mariglianese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.43)
    3.81
    (3.67)
    3.4
    (5.42)
    10.5%
    (15.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Licata - Mariglianese were as follows:
    05.10.2022 Mariglianese - Licata 0:0
    Latest results of Licata
    22.01.2023 Catania - Licata 4:1
    15.01.2023 Licata - Vibonese 1:0
    08.01.2023 Castrovillari - Licata 0:4
    21.12.2022 Licata - San Luca 3:0
    Latest results of Mariglianese
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1