Marina Stakusic vs Dayana Yastremska – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
23/02/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Merida, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
16
1st serve percentage
74%64%
1st serve points won
67% (28/42)58% (25/43)
2nd serve points won
47% (7/15)33% (8/24)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)38% (3/8)
1st return points won
42% (18/43)33% (14/42)
2nd return points won
67% (16/24)53% (8/15)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)67% (2/3)
Service Points Won
61% (35/57)49% (33/67)
Return Points Won
51% (34/67)39% (22/57)
Total Points Won
56% (69/124)44% (55/124)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
78% (7/9)50% (5/10)
Return games won
50% (5/10)22% (2/9)
Total games won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Marina Stakusic
37.7%
Dayana Yastremska
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 61.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marina Stakusic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Dayana Yastremska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marina Stakusic than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dayana Yastremska than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Marina Stakusic - Dayana Yastremska Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.38)

    1.52
    (1.57)
    5.4%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Marina Stakusic - Dayana Yastremska?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Stakusic will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Yastremska will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Stakusic (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Yastremska (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +4.5 Games - Stakusic (1.60) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Yastremska (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +5.5 Games - Stakusic (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Stakusic (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Yastremska (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Stakusic is ranked WTA: 139. Yastremska is ranked WTA: 44.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Yastremska may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Yastremska is considered a favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Marina Stakusic
    Latest results of Dayana Yastremska
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bye
    2Stephens S. (WC)Zarazua R.
    3Boulter K. (WC)Haddad Maia B.
    4Osorio C.Tjen J. (6)
    5Li A. (3)Bye
    6Brace C. (Q)Sonmez Z.
    7Bucsa C.Vekic D.
    8Stakusic M. (WC)Yastremska D. (5)2 : 0
    9Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Watson H. (Q)
    10Frech M.Timofeeva M. (Q)
    11Arango E.Potapova A.
    12ByeBouzkova M. (4)
    13Linette M. (8)Maria T.
    14Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Putintseva Y.
    15Lepchenko V. (Q)Zhang S. (Q)
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Li A. (3)TBD #6
    4TBD #7Stakusic M.
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11Bouzkova M. (4)
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15Navarro E. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2