Marina Stakusic vs Dayana Yastremska – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
23/02/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Merida, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
16
1st serve percentage
74%64%
1st serve points won
67% (28/42)58% (25/43)
2nd serve points won
47% (7/15)33% (8/24)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)38% (3/8)
1st return points won
42% (18/43)33% (14/42)
2nd return points won
67% (16/24)53% (8/15)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)67% (2/3)
Service Points Won
61% (35/57)49% (33/67)
Return Points Won
51% (34/67)39% (22/57)
Total Points Won
56% (69/124)44% (55/124)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
78% (7/9)50% (5/10)
Return games won
50% (5/10)22% (2/9)
Total games won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Marina Stakusic
37.7%
Dayana Yastremska
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 61.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marina Stakusic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Dayana Yastremska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marina Stakusic than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dayana Yastremska than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Marina Stakusic - Dayana Yastremska Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.38)

    1.52
    (1.57)
    5.4%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Marina Stakusic - Dayana Yastremska?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Stakusic will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Yastremska will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Stakusic (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Yastremska (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +4.5 Games - Stakusic (1.60) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Yastremska (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +5.5 Games - Stakusic (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Stakusic (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Yastremska (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Stakusic is ranked WTA: 139. Yastremska is ranked WTA: 44.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Yastremska may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Yastremska is considered a favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Marina Stakusic
    Latest results of Dayana Yastremska
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bye
    2Hon P.Zarazua R.2 : 1
    3Boulter K. (WC)Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    4Osorio C.Tjen J. (6)2 : 0
    5Li A. (3)Bye
    6Brace C. (Q)Sonmez Z.0 : 2
    7Bucsa C.Vekic D.2 : 0
    8Stakusic M. (WC)Yastremska D. (5)2 : 0
    9Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Watson H. (Q)2 : 0
    10Frech M.Timofeeva M. (Q)2 : 0
    11Arango E.Potapova A.2 : 0
    12ByeBouzkova M. (4)
    13Linette M. (8)Maria T.2 : 0
    14Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    15Lepchenko V. (Q)Zhang S. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Hon P.2 : 0
    2Boulter K.Osorio C. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Li A. (3)Sonmez Z.1 : 2
    4Bucsa C.Stakusic M.2 : 0
    5Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Frech M.0 : 2
    6Arango E. (RET.)Bouzkova M. (4)1 : 1
    7Linette M. (8)Jimenez Kasintseva V.1 : 2
    8Zhang S.Navarro E. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Boulter K.2 : 1
    2Sonmez Z.Bucsa C.0 : 2
    3Frech M.Bouzkova M. (4)2 : 1
    4Jimenez Kasintseva V.Zhang S.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bucsa C.0 : 2
    2Frech M.Zhang S.2 : 1

    Final
    1Bucsa C.Frech M.2 : 1