Marina Stakusic vs Emiliana Arango – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Guadalajara Marina Stakusic - Emiliana Arango
Result
0:2
12/09/2025 at 22:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Guadalajara, hard - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkDAZN, TV2 Play
finlandFinlandDAZN
franceFrancebeIN Sports 2
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
greeceGreeceNova Sports 6
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenDAZN
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
54
1st Serve Percentage
56%75%
1st Serve Points Won
52% (16/31)64% (25/39)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (9/24)54% (7/13)
Break Points Saved
14% (1/7)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
36% (14/39)52% (16/31)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (6/13)63% (15/24)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
44% (24/55)62% (32/52)
Return Points Won
38% (20/52)56% (31/55)
Total Points Won
41% (44/107)59% (63/107)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
33% (3/9)75% (6/8)
Return Games Won
25% (2/8)67% (6/9)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Marina Stakusic
32.1%
Emiliana Arango
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 58.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marina Stakusic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marina Stakusic's form might have worsened.
  • Emiliana Arango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emiliana Arango's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marina Stakusic than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marina Stakusic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emiliana Arango than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emiliana Arango, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Marina Stakusic - Emiliana Arango Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.29
    (2.29)

    1.44
    (1.58)
    -0.2%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Marina Stakusic - Emiliana Arango?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arango (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Stakusic is ranked WTA: 155. Arango is ranked WTA: 86.
    • Now, both players are in good form.
    • Arango may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Arango is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Arango will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stakusic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marina Stakusic - Emiliana Arango were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Emiliana Arango - Marina Stakusic 2:0
    12.02.2025 Marina Stakusic - Emiliana Arango 0:2
    Latest results of Marina Stakusic
    Latest results of Emiliana Arango
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Mertens E. (1)Bye
    2Sakkari M.Jacquemot E.0 : 2
    3Trevisan M. (WC)Marino R.0 : 2
    4Sonmez Z.Maria T. (6)0 : 2
    5Ostapenko J. (3)Bye
    6Kudermetova P.Stakusic M. (Q)1 : 2
    7Hunter S. (WC)Siniakova K.2 : 1
    8Arango E.Linette M. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    9Parks A. (7)Vidmanova D. (Q)0 : 2
    10Bartunkova N. (WC)Fossa Huergo N. (Q)2 : 0
    11Stephens S. (WC)Stefanini L. (Q)1 : 2
    12ByeFrech M. (4)
    13Osorio C. (8)Rakhimova K.2 : 0
    14Kawa K.Jovic I.1 : 2
    15Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Pridankina E. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeKudermetova V. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Mertens E. (1)Jacquemot E.1 : 2
    2Marino R.Maria T. (6)0 : 2
    3Ostapenko J. (3)Stakusic M.1 : 2
    4Hunter S.Arango E.0 : 2
    5Vidmanova D.Bartunkova N.0 : 2
    6Stefanini L.Frech M. (4)0 : 2
    7Osorio C. (8)Jovic I.0 : 2
    8Jimenez Kasintseva V.Kudermetova V. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Jacquemot E.Maria T. (6)2 : 1
    2Stakusic M.Arango E.0 : 2
    3Bartunkova N.Frech M. (4)2 : 0
    4Jovic I.Jimenez Kasintseva V.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Jacquemot E.Arango E.0 : 2
    2Bartunkova N.Jovic I.1 : 2

    Final
    1Arango E.Jovic I.0 : 2