Marines vs Gorilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Rwanda Premier League Marines - Gorilla
Result
2:1
19/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)

Chances of winning


Marines
52.2%
Draw
28.5%
Gorilla
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 30.2% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 24.8% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marines's performance.
  • Gorilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marines than the current prediction. (-14.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marines that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorilla than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gorilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marines - Gorilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.97)
    3.23
    (3)
    4.77
    (3.8)
    8.7%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Marines - Gorilla?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Marines (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Marines won 2.
    • Recent matches Marines is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Gorilla is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Marines will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Marines won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Marines won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marines - Gorilla were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Gorilla - Marines 1:0
    10.03.2024 Marines - Gorilla 2:1
    27.10.2023 Gorilla - Marines 2:3
    03.03.2023 Gorilla - Marines 2:1
    10.12.2022 Marines - Gorilla 0:0
    Latest results of Marines
    05.04.2025 Marines - Rayon Sports 2:2
    30.03.2025 Etincelles - Marines 0:0
    15.03.2025 Marines - Amagaju 1:2
    22.02.2025 Muhazi United - Marines 2:0
    Latest results of Gorilla
    05.04.2025 Amagaju - Gorilla 1:0
    29.03.2025 Rutsiro - Gorilla 1:0
    14.03.2025 Gorilla - Muhazi United 2:0
    06.03.2025 Gorilla - Rayon Sports 0:1
    Rwanda Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1APR30207346:172967
    2Rayon Sport30189343:172663
    3AS Kigali30147932:27549
    4Police301112738:241445
    5Mukura Victory Sports301011923:27-441
    6Bugesera3010101037:30740
    7Gorilla301171227:25240
    8Gasogi United3010101029:29040
    9Rutsiro309111030:35-538
    10Kiyovu301141532:51-1937
    11Amagaju301061429:38-936
    12Etincelles307131025:27-234
    13Musanze307131026:31-534
    14Marines30971437:46-934
    15Muhazi United30791422:29-730
    16Vision30561923:46-2321

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