Result
2:1
09/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 42', Beato B. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 74', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 89', 2 - 1, (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Os Marialvas 38.6% | Draw 33.5% | Marinhense 28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Os Marialvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Os Marialvas's form might have worsened.Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marinhense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (+15.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Os Marialvas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marinhense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Os Marialvas - Marinhense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.36 ↑ (1.75) |
2.72 ↓ (3.2) |
3.25 ↓ (4.6) |
10% (10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 5).
- Marialvas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Marinhense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Marialvas is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Marialvas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
How many head-to-head matches has Os Marialvas won against Marinhense?
Os Marialvas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marinhense won against Os Marialvas?
Marinhense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Os Marialvas - Marinhense were as follows:
10.11.2024
Marinhense
-
Os Marialvas
1:0
Latest results of Os Marialvas
Latest results of Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Naval 1893 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
2 | Uniao Da Serra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Vitoria Sernache | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Marinhense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
5 | SB Castelo Branco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
6 | Mortagua | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
7 | SC Lusitania | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Oliveira Hospital | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Lajense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Samora Correia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Os Marialvas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
12 | Peniche | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Fatima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
14 | Electrico | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation