Marinhense vs Os Marialvas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Marinhense - Os Marialvas
Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
55
Total shots
67
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+1', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Marinhense
38.1%
Draw
30.9%
Os Marialvas
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 30% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 29.5% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marinhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Os Marialvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marinhense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Marinhense - Os Marialvas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.1)
    2.95
    (3)
    2.93
    (3.33)
    10%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Marinhense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marinhense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Marinhense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marinhense - Os Marialvas were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Os Marialvas - Marinhense 2:1
    10.11.2024 Marinhense - Os Marialvas 1:0
    Latest results of Marinhense
    28.09.2025 Naval - Marinhense 3:1
    21.09.2025 Marinhense - Mosteirense 6:0
    14.09.2025 Marinhense - Mortágua 0:1
    24.08.2025 Fatima - Marinhense 1:1
    Latest results of Os Marialvas
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache550012:3915
    2Naval 1893640213:8512
    3Uniao Da Serra632113:7611
    4Peniche53029:639
    5Mortagua62224:7-38
    6SB Castelo Branco62228:808
    7Lajense52219:638
    8Marinhense62225:6-18
    9SC Lusitania52128:627
    10Os Marialvas621310:1007
    11Fatima52125:6-17
    12Samora Correia61142:8-64
    13Oliveira Hospital51133:5-24
    14Electrico60155:20-151

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