Os Marialvas vs Marinhense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Os Marialvas - Marinhense
Result
2:1
09/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 22

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, ,
  • 42', Beato B. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 74', 2 - 0, ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, (Own goal),

Chances of winning


Os Marialvas
38.6%
Draw
33.5%
Marinhense
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 28.4% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 27.2% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Os Marialvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Os Marialvas's form might have worsened.
  • Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marinhense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (+15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Os Marialvas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marinhense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Os Marialvas - Marinhense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (1.75)
    2.72
    (3.2)
    3.25
    (4.6)
    10%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 5).
    • Marialvas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Marinhense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Marialvas is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Marialvas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Os Marialvas - Marinhense were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Marinhense - Os Marialvas 1:0
    Latest results of Os Marialvas
    02.03.2025 Peniche - Os Marialvas 0:0
    16.02.2025 Alcains - Os Marialvas 0:2
    09.02.2025 Os Marialvas - Pombal 1:1
    02.02.2025 Os Marialvas - Mortágua 0:0
    Latest results of Marinhense
    02.03.2025 Marinhense - Mortágua 0:1
    16.02.2025 Marinhense - Elvas 0:2
    09.02.2025 Fatima - Marinhense 1:0
    02.02.2025 Marinhense - Pero Pinheiro 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1Lusitano GCVitoria Guimaraes B2 : 1