Result
2:0
05/03/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 23
- Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)
Chances of winning
Gil Vicente
50.2% | Draw
26.7% | Marítimo
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Gil Vicente - Marítimo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(2.03) |
3.51 ↑
(3.24) |
4.08 ↑
(3.8) |
6.2%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gil Vicente - Marítimo?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Gil Vicente will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Marítimo will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gil Vicente: 39.2% – 89.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
- Gil Vicente has the most likely position - 10 (11.27%), has project points - 42, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (32.71%), has project points - 29, has currently - 16, has a good chance of relegated (56%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 46, small importance 27, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente won 3.
- Recent matches Gil Vicente is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Marítimo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Gil Vicente could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Gil Vicente is a favorite.
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21-22.
- Including matches at home between the teams Gil Vicente won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-8.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Marítimo?
Gil Vicente has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Gil Vicente?
Marítimo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gil Vicente - Marítimo were as follows:
11.09.2022
Marítimo
-
Gil Vicente
1:2
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Latest results of Marítimo
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 59:14 | 45 | 76 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 28 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 73:17 | 56 | 71 |
| 3 | Benfica | 29 | 20 | 9 | 0 | 61:18 | 43 | 69 |
| 4 | Braga | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 55:27 | 28 | 52 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 36:25 | 11 | 47 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 44:30 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | Estoril | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 51:50 | 1 | 37 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 36 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
| 10 | Alverca | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:48 | -17 | 33 |
| 12 | Arouca | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 37:58 | -21 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 33:48 | -15 | 28 |
| 15 | Nacional | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 31:41 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 28:52 | -24 | 25 |
| 17 | Tondela | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 21:46 | -25 | 21 |
| 18 | AFS | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 19:62 | -43 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
