Result
2:1
19/11/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bergamo, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 56% | 52% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 81% (43/53) | 65% (39/60) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (22/42) | 56% (31/55) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 73% (8/11) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (21/60) | 19% (10/53) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (24/55) | 48% (20/42) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 67% (2/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (65/95) | 61% (70/115) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (45/115) | 32% (30/95) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (110/210) | 48% (100/210) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 81% (13/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 12% (2/17) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 55% (18/33) | 45% (15/33) |
Chances of winning
Mark Lajal
76.4% | Alexey Vatutin
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mark Lajal's performance.Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexey Vatutin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mark Lajal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexey Vatutin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mark Lajal - Alexey Vatutin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.22 ↓
(1.35) |
|
3.96 ↑
(2.9) |
7.1%
(8.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Mark Lajal - Alexey Vatutin?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Lajal is ranked ATP: 146. Vatutin is ranked ATP: 383.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Lajal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lajal is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lajal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mark Lajal won against Alexey Vatutin?
Mark Lajal has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexey Vatutin won against Mark Lajal?
Alexey Vatutin has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mark Lajal - Alexey Vatutin were as follows:
21.10.2025
Mark Lajal
-
Alexey Vatutin
2:1
Latest results of Mark Lajal
Latest results of Alexey Vatutin
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Mochizuki S. (1) | Arnaboldi F. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Andaloro F. (RET.) (Alt) | Fatic N. | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Travaglia S. | Dodig M. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Karol M. (Q) | Pellegrino A. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Passaro F. (4) | Ribecai M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Sciahbasi L. (WC) | Durasovic V. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Brunold M. (Alt) | Zhukayev B. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Topo M. | Choinski J. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Maestrelli F. (8) | Ruusuvuori E. (PR) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Basile P. (WC) | Gadamauri B. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Visker N. (LL) | Gentzsch T. | |
| 12 | Napolitano S. (PR) | Virtanen O. (3) | |
| 13 | Lajal M. (7) | Vatutin A. (LL) | |
| 14 | Engel J. | Stewart H. (RET.) (Q) | 0 : 0 |
| 15 | Donski A. (Q) | Tabacco F. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Guerrieri A. (Q) | Harris B. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Arnaboldi F. | Fatic N. | |
| 2 | Travaglia S. | Karol M. | |
| 3 | Passaro F. (4) | Sciahbasi L. | |
| 4 | Zhukayev B. | Topo M. | |
| 5 | Maestrelli F. (8) | Gadamauri B. | |
| 6 | TBD #11 | TBD #12 | |
| 7 | TBD #13 | Engel J. | |
| 8 | Donski A. | Guerrieri A. | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
