Luca Brecel vs Mark Selby – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Snooker Welsh Open Luca Brecel - Mark Selby
Result
3:6
15/02/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WALES: Welsh Open - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


Luca Brecel
37.6%
Mark Selby
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.5% 63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 63.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Brecel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Mark Selby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Brecel than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Selby than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Luca Brecel - Mark Selby Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.62)

    1.51
    (1.51)
    6.9%
    (4.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Brecel is ranked World Ranking: 7. Selby is ranked World Ranking: 4.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Brecel won 1.
    • Brecel is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Selby is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Selby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Selby will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Our prediction for today's Selby to win the game is with odds 1.51.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Brecel won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 44:52 (average 4:4.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luca Brecel - Mark Selby were as follows:
    01.05.2023 Luca Brecel - Mark Selby 18:15
    18.12.2022 Mark Selby - Luca Brecel 9:6
    Latest results of Luca Brecel
    Latest results of Mark Selby
    Draw
    Main

    1/32-finals
    1Wilson G.Chadha I.3 : 4
    2Page J.Robertson J.4 : 2
    3Ford T.Higginson A.4 : 2
    4Robertson N.Davis M.4 : 2
    5Pang J.Dale D.4 : 2
    6Zhang A.Muir R.4 : 2
    7Saengkham N.Emery D.4 : 1
    8Brecel L.Carrington S.4 : 2
    9Selby M.Pinhey H.4 : 2
    10Slessor E.Davies L. J.4 : 0
    11Si JiahuiJones Jam.2 : 4
    12Bingham S.Williams R.0 : 4
    13Milkins R.Yuchen W.4 : 1
    14Higgins J.Dott G.4 : 0
    15Zhou Y.Yuan S.1 : 4
    16Allen M.Moody S.4 : 3
    17O'Sullivan R.Clarke J. R. (WO.)
    18Selt M.Walden R.4 : 0
    19Wakelin C.Holt M.4 : 3
    20Lisowski J.Cooper J.4 : 0
    21Wu Y.Donaldson S.4 : 3
    22Hawkins B.Lam S.1 : 4
    23Maguire S.Si X.4 : 2
    24Williams M.Nussle F.4 : 1
    25Murphy S.Hailong M.3 : 4
    26Day R.Mertens B.4 : 2
    27Carter A.Chuan Leong T.4 : 0
    28Vafaei H.Fan Z.4 : 2
    29Gilbert D.Brown J.4 : 3
    30Jones JakStevens M.2 : 4
    31Lyu H.O'Connor J.0 : 4
    32Wilson K.Fu M.4 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1Chadha I.Page J.2 : 4
    2Ford T.Robertson N.4 : 3
    3Pang J.Zhang A.4 : 2
    4Saengkham N.Brecel L.2 : 4
    5Selby M.Slessor E.4 : 3
    6Jones Jam.Williams R.4 : 2
    7Milkins R.Higgins J.0 : 4
    8Yuan S.Allen M.4 : 3
    9Clarke J. R.Selt M.3 : 4
    10Wakelin C.Lisowski J.1 : 4
    11Wu Y.Lam S.2 : 4
    12Maguire S.Williams M.4 : 2
    13Hailong M.Day R.2 : 4
    14Carter A.Vafaei H.4 : 2
    15Gilbert D.Stevens M.3 : 4
    16O'Connor J.Wilson K.4 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1Page J.Ford T.4 : 0
    2Pang J.Brecel L.1 : 4
    3Selby M.Jones Jam.4 : 0
    4Higgins J.Yuan S.4 : 0
    5Selt M.Lisowski J.2 : 4
    6Lam S.Maguire S.2 : 4
    7Day R.Carter A.1 : 4
    8Stevens M.O'Connor J.1 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Page J.Brecel L.2 : 5
    2Selby M.Higgins J.5 : 4
    3Lisowski J.Maguire S.3 : 5
    4Carter A.O'Connor J.5 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Brecel L.Selby M.3 : 6
    2Maguire S.Carter A.6 : 4

    Final
    1Selby M.Maguire S.4 : 4