Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
4	4
Double Faults
2	4
1st Serve Percentage
61%	64%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (33/51)	75% (24/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
61% (20/33)	33% (6/18)
Break Points Saved
100% (12/12)	0% (0/3)
1st Return Points Won
25% (8/32)	35% (18/51)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (12/18)	39% (13/33)
Break Points Converted
100% (3/3)	0% (0/12)
Service Points Won
63% (52/83)	60% (30/50)
Return Points Won
40% (20/50)	37% (31/83)
Total Points Won
54% (72/133)	46% (61/133)
Last 10 Balls
7	3
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
100% (10/10)	67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)	0% (0/10)
Total Games Won
68% (13/19)	32% (6/19)

Chances of winning

Aryna Sabalenka
66.8%

Marketa Vondrousova
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Marketa Vondrousova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marketa Vondrousova than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Aryna Sabalenka - Marketa Vondrousova Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)		2.84 ↓ (3)	4.9% (4.8%)

What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Marketa Vondrousova?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Vondrousova will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Vondrousova is ranked WTA: 59.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 3.
Sabalenka is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Vondrousova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Sabalenka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Sabalenka is the team to beat.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Aryna Sabalenka won against Marketa Vondrousova?

Aryna Sabalenka has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Marketa Vondrousova won against Aryna Sabalenka?

Marketa Vondrousova has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Marketa Vondrousova were as follows:

21.06.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Marketa Vondrousova 0:2

19.04.2024 Marketa Vondrousova - Aryna Sabalenka 2:1

05.01.2023 Marketa Vondrousova - Aryna Sabalenka 0:2

Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka

10.07.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Amanda Anisimova 1:2 ✺

08.07.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Laura Siegemund 2:1 ✺

06.07.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens 2:0 ✺

04.07.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Emma Raducanu 2:0 ✺

02.07.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Marie Bouzkova 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Marketa Vondrousova

07.08.2025 Marketa Vondrousova - Jaqueline Adina Cristian 2:0 ✺

29.07.2025 Marta Kostyuk - Marketa Vondrousova 2:1 ✺

27.07.2025 Marketa Vondrousova - Alexandra Eala 2:1 ✺

02.07.2025 Emma Raducanu - Marketa Vondrousova 2:0 ✺

30.06.2025 Marketa Vondrousova - McCartney Kessler 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Vondrousova M.	Cristian J.	2 : 0
3	Danilovic O.	Boulter K.	2 : 0
4	Bye	Raducanu E. (30)
5	Fernandez L. (21)	Bye
6	Williams V. (WC)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	0 : 2
7	Collins D.	Townsend T. (WC)	0 : 2
8	Bye	Samsonova L. (13)
9	Rybakina E. (9)	Bye
10	Zarazua R.	Putintseva Y.	2 : 1
11	Ngounoue C. (Q)	Baptiste H.	2 : 1
12	Bye	Mertens E. (19)
13	Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)	Bye
14	Ito A. (Q)	Ruse G.	2 : 0
15	Pera B. (WC)	Lys E.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Keys M. (6)
17	Swiatek I. (3)	Bye
18	Potapova A.	Siegemund L. (Q)	2 : 0
19	Osuigwe W. (Q)	Maria T.	0 : 2
20	Bye	Kostyuk M. (25)
21	Frech M. (22)	Bye
22	Cirstea S.	Vekic D.	2 : 1
23	Bucsa C. (LL)	Yuan Y. (LL)	0 : 2
24	Bye	Shnaider D. (14)
25	Alexandrova E. (12)	Bye
26	Sun L.	Ruzic A. (Q)	2 : 0
27	Joint M.	Minnen G.	2 : 0
28	Bye	Haddad Maia B. (18)
29	Kalinskaya A. (28)	Bye
30	Stearns P.	Wang Y.	2 : 0
31	Starodubtseva Y.	Jeanjean L. (Q)	1 : 2
32	Bye	Anisimova A. (5)
33	Navarro E. (8)	Bye
34	Kudermetova P.	Seidel E. (Q)	1 : 2
35	McNally C. (WC)	Inglis M. (Q)	2 : 0
36	Bye	Kessler M. (29)
37	Kenin S. (24)	Bye
38	Gracheva V. (Q)	Volynets K. (WC)	2 : 1
39	Kartal S.	Garcia C. (WC)	1 : 2
40	Bye	Muchova K. (11)
41	Tauson C. (16)	Bye
42	Bondar A.	Tomljanovic A.	0 : 2
43	Lamens S.	Kudermetova V.	0 : 2
44	Bye	Bencic B. (17)
45	Linette M. (31)	Bye
46	Dolehide C.	Sramkova R.	1 : 2
47	Blinkova A.	Birrell K.	0 : 2
48	Bye	Pegula J. (4)
49	Paolini J. (7)	Bye
50	Rakhimova K. (Q)	Sakkari M.	1 : 2
51	Sevastova A.	Bektas E. (Q)	2 : 1
52	Bye	Krueger A. (26)
53	Noskova L. (20)	Bye
54	Jovic I. (LL)	Sierra S. (LL)	2 : 0
55	Parks A.	Krejcikova B.	1 : 2
56	Bye	Svitolina E. (10)
57	Kasatkina D. (15)	Bye
58	Zhu L.	Bronzetti L.	1 : 2
59	Uchijima M.	Osorio C.	1 : 2
60	Bye	Ostapenko J. (23)
61	Yastremska D. (32)	Bye
62	Li A.	Tomova V. (Q)	0 : 2
63	Wang Xin.	Arango E.	2 : 0
64	Bye	Gauff C. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Vondrousova M.	2 : 0
2	Danilovic O.	Raducanu E. (30)	0 : 2
3	Fernandez L. (21)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	0 : 2
4	Townsend T.	Samsonova L. (13)	2 : 0
5	Rybakina E. (9)	Zarazua R.	2 : 1
6	Ngounoue C.	Mertens E. (19)	1 : 2
7	Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)	Ito A.	1 : 2
8	Lys E.	Keys M. (6)	1 : 2
9	Swiatek I. (3)	Potapova A.	2 : 0
10	Maria T.	Kostyuk M. (25)	0 : 2
11	Frech M. (22)	Cirstea S.	1 : 2
12	Yuan Y.	Shnaider D. (14)	2 : 1
13	Alexandrova E. (12)	Sun L.	2 : 0
14	Joint M.	Haddad Maia B. (18)	2 : 1
15	Kalinskaya A. (28)	Stearns P.	2 : 1
16	Jeanjean L.	Anisimova A. (WO.) (5)
17	Navarro E. (8)	Seidel E.	1 : 2
18	McNally C.	Kessler M. (29)	0 : 2
19	Kenin S. (24)	Gracheva V.	1 : 2
20	Garcia C.	Muchova K. (11)	0 : 2
21	Tauson C. (16)	Tomljanovic A.	2 : 1
22	Kudermetova V.	Bencic B. (17)	2 : 0
23	Linette M. (31)	Sramkova R.	2 : 0
24	Birrell K.	Pegula J. (4)	0 : 2
25	Paolini J. (7)	Sakkari M.	2 : 0
26	Sevastova A.	Krueger A. (26)	1 : 2
27	Noskova L. (20)	Jovic I.	0 : 2
28	Krejcikova B.	Svitolina E. (10)	2 : 1
29	Kasatkina D. (15)	Bronzetti L.	1 : 2
30	Osorio C.	Ostapenko J. (WO.) (23)
31	Yastremska D. (32)	Tomova V.	2 : 1
32	Wang Xin.	Gauff C. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Raducanu E. (30)	2 : 1
2	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Townsend T.	2 : 0
3	Rybakina E. (9)	Mertens E. (19)	2 : 1
4	Ito A.	Keys M. (6)	0 : 2
5	Swiatek I. (WO.) (3)	Kostyuk M. (25)
6	Cirstea S.	Yuan Y.	2 : 1
7	Alexandrova E. (12)	Joint M.	2 : 0
8	Kalinskaya A. (28)	Anisimova A. (5)	2 : 0
9	Seidel E.	Kessler M. (29)	2 : 1
10	Gracheva V.	Muchova K. (11)	2 : 0
11	Tauson C. (16)	Kudermetova V.	1 : 2
12	Linette M. (31)	Pegula J. (4)	2 : 1
13	Paolini J. (7)	Krueger A. (26)	2 : 0
14	Jovic I.	Krejcikova B.	1 : 2
15	Bronzetti L.	Ostapenko J. (23)	2 : 1
16	Yastremska D. (32)	Gauff C. (WO.) (2)

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 0
2	Rybakina E. (9)	Keys M. (6)	2 : 1
3	Swiatek I. (3)	Cirstea S.	2 : 0
4	Alexandrova E. (12)	Kalinskaya A. (28)	1 : 2
5	Seidel E.	Gracheva V.	1 : 2
6	Kudermetova V.	Linette M. (31)	2 : 0
7	Paolini J. (7)	Krejcikova B.	2 : 0
8	Bronzetti L.	Gauff C. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Rybakina E. (9)	0 : 2
2	Swiatek I. (3)	Kalinskaya A. (28)	2 : 0
3	Gracheva V.	Kudermetova V.	0 : 2
4	Paolini J. (7)	Gauff C. (2)	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Rybakina E. (9)	Swiatek I. (3)
2	Kudermetova V.	Paolini J. (7)

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2