Result
0:2
21/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Berlin, grass - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 France | beIN Sports 3 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 66% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (23/36) | 67% (29/43) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 55% (12/22) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 86% (6/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (14/43) | 36% (13/36) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (10/22) | 69% (18/26) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 44% (4/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (31/62) | 63% (42/67) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (25/67) | 50% (31/62) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (56/129) | 57% (73/129) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 89% (8/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 44% (4/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 67% (12/18) |
Chances of winning
Aryna Sabalenka
68.3% | Marketa Vondrousova
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Marketa Vondrousova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marketa Vondrousova than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Aryna Sabalenka - Marketa Vondrousova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↑
(1.36) |
|
3.01 ↓
(3.24) |
4.8%
(4.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Marketa Vondrousova?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Vondrousova will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 2 - 50%). Vondrousova (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Vondrousova is ranked WTA: 164.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 4.
- At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
- Vondrousova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sabalenka is a strong favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Aryna Sabalenka won against Marketa Vondrousova?
Aryna Sabalenka has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marketa Vondrousova won against Aryna Sabalenka?
Marketa Vondrousova has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Marketa Vondrousova were as follows:
19.04.2024
Marketa Vondrousova
-
Aryna Sabalenka
2:1
05.01.2023
Marketa Vondrousova
-
Aryna Sabalenka
0:2
Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
Latest results of Marketa Vondrousova
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Kenin S. (Q) | Masarova R. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tomova V. (Q) | Siniakova K. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Rybakina E. | Krueger A. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Paolini J. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Dolehide C. (Q) | Jabeur O. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Shnaider D. | Vekic D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Vondrousova M. | Keys M. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Andreeva M. (6) | Frech M. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Anisimova A. | Andreescu B. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Osaka N. (WC) | Samsonova L. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Pegula J. (3) | |
| 13 | Badosa P. (8) | Lys E. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Kostyuk M. | Navarro E. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Wang Xin. (Q) | Kasatkina D. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Gauff C. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Masarova R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Siniakova K. | Rybakina E. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Paolini J. (4) | Jabeur O. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Shnaider D. | Vondrousova M. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Frech M. | Anisimova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Samsonova L. | Pegula J. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Badosa P. (8) | Navarro E. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Wang Xin. | Gauff C. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rybakina E. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Jabeur O. | Vondrousova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Anisimova A. | Samsonova L. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Badosa P. (RET.) (8) | Wang Xin. | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Vondrousova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Samsonova L. | Wang Xin. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Vondrousova M. | Wang Xin. | 2 : 1 |
