Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Berlin Aryna Sabalenka - Marketa Vondrousova
Result
0:2
21/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Berlin, grass - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
franceFrancebeIN Sports 3
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event

Match Stats

Aces
44
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
58%66%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (23/36)67% (29/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
31% (8/26)55% (12/22)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)86% (6/7)
1st Return Points Won
33% (14/43)36% (13/36)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (10/22)69% (18/26)
Break Points Converted
14% (1/7)44% (4/9)
Service Points Won
50% (31/62)63% (42/67)
Return Points Won
37% (25/67)50% (31/62)
Total Points Won
43% (56/129)57% (73/129)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)89% (8/9)
Return Games Won
11% (1/9)44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Aryna Sabalenka
68.3%
Marketa Vondrousova
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.4% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Marketa Vondrousova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marketa Vondrousova than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Aryna Sabalenka - Marketa Vondrousova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.36)

    3.01
    (3.24)
    4.8%
    (4.2%)
    What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Marketa Vondrousova?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Vondrousova will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 2 - 50%). Vondrousova (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Vondrousova is ranked WTA: 164.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 4.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Vondrousova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Sabalenka is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Marketa Vondrousova were as follows:
    19.04.2024 Marketa Vondrousova - Aryna Sabalenka 2:1
    05.01.2023 Marketa Vondrousova - Aryna Sabalenka 0:2
    Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
    Latest results of Marketa Vondrousova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Kenin S. (Q)Masarova R. (Q)0 : 2
    3Tomova V. (Q)Siniakova K. (Q)0 : 2
    4Rybakina E.Krueger A. (LL)2 : 0
    5Paolini J. (4)Bye
    6Dolehide C. (Q)Jabeur O. (LL)0 : 2
    7Shnaider D.Vekic D.2 : 0
    8Vondrousova M.Keys M. (7)2 : 0
    9Andreeva M. (6)Frech M.1 : 2
    10Anisimova A.Andreescu B. (WC)2 : 0
    11Osaka N. (WC)Samsonova L.1 : 2
    12ByePegula J. (3)
    13Badosa P. (8)Lys E. (WC)2 : 0
    14Kostyuk M.Navarro E.0 : 2
    15Wang Xin. (Q)Kasatkina D.2 : 0
    16ByeGauff C. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Masarova R.2 : 0
    2Siniakova K.Rybakina E.0 : 2
    3Paolini J. (4)Jabeur O.0 : 2
    4Shnaider D.Vondrousova M.1 : 2
    5Frech M.Anisimova A.1 : 2
    6Samsonova L.Pegula J. (3)2 : 1
    7Badosa P. (8)Navarro E.2 : 0
    8Wang Xin.Gauff C. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Rybakina E.2 : 1
    2Jabeur O.Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    3Anisimova A.Samsonova L.0 : 2
    4Badosa P. (RET.) (8)Wang Xin.0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    2Samsonova L.Wang Xin.0 : 2

    Final
    1Vondrousova M.Wang Xin.2 : 1