Marketa Vondrousova vs Karolina Muchova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Tokyo Marketa Vondrousova - Karolina Muchova
Result
Vondrousova M. retired
20/10/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
75%69%
1st Serve Points Won
54% (13/24)72% (18/25)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (3/8)55% (6/11)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)100% (3/3)
1st Return Points Won
28% (7/25)46% (11/24)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (5/11)63% (5/8)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/3)50% (2/4)
Service Points Won
50% (16/32)67% (24/36)
Return Points Won
33% (12/36)50% (16/32)
Total Points Won
41% (28/68)59% (40/68)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (2/4)100% (5/5)
Return Games Won
0% (0/5)50% (2/4)
Total Games Won
22% (2/9)78% (7/9)

Chances of winning


Marketa Vondrousova
40.1%
Karolina Muchova
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 51.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marketa Vondrousova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marketa Vondrousova's form might have worsened.
  • Karolina Muchova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karolina Muchova's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marketa Vondrousova than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marketa Vondrousova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karolina Muchova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Marketa Vondrousova - Karolina Muchova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (2)

    1.6
    (1.8)
    -0.5%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Marketa Vondrousova - Karolina Muchova?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Muchova (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Vondrousova is ranked WTA: 36. Muchova is ranked WTA: 20.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Muchova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vondrousova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marketa Vondrousova - Karolina Muchova were as follows:
    14.10.2025 Marketa Vondrousova - Karolina Muchova 0:2
    14.03.2023 Marketa Vondrousova - Karolina Muchova 1:2
    Latest results of Marketa Vondrousova
    Latest results of Karolina Muchova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Bye
    2Wang Xin.Gracheva V. (Q)1 : 2
    3Golubic V. (LL)Joint M.1 : 2
    4Vondrousova M. (RET.)Muchova K. (8)0 : 1
    5Alexandrova E. (3)Bye
    6Charaeva A. (Q)Cristian J.0 : 2
    7Sonobe W. (WC)Bartunkova N. (WC)2 : 0
    8Uchijima M. (WC)Kenin S.0 : 2
    9Shnaider D. (7)Yastremska D.2 : 0
    10Lamens S. (LL)Kalinskaya A.0 : 2
    11Bucsa C. (Q)Kessler M.1 : 2
    12ByeNoskova L. (6)
    13Mboko V. (9)Andreescu B. (WC)2 : 0
    14Boulter K. (Q)Lys E. (Q)0 : 2
    15Fernandez L.Sakkari M. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Gracheva V.2 : 0
    2Joint M.Muchova K. (8)0 : 2
    3Alexandrova E. (3)Cristian J.2 : 0
    4Sonobe W.Kenin S.1 : 2
    5Shnaider D. (7)Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    6Kessler M.Noskova L. (6)1 : 2
    7Mboko V. (9)Lys E.2 : 0
    8Fernandez L.Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Muchova K. (8)
    2Alexandrova E. (3)Kenin S.
    3Kalinskaya A.Noskova L. (6)
    4Mboko V. (9)Rybakina E. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2