Result
2:0
17/11/2025 at 11:55 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bergamo, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 63% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 83% (40/48) | 71% (34/48) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (15/28) | 62% (16/26) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 83% (5/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 29% (14/48) | 17% (8/48) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (10/26) | 46% (13/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 0% (0/2) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 28 | 13 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 71% (5/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 72% (55/76) | 68% (50/74) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (24/74) | 28% (21/76) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (79/150) | 47% (71/150) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (11/11) | 91% (10/11) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 0% (0/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 45% (10/22) |
Chances of winning
Marko Topo
40.2% | Jan Choinski
59.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Marko Topo - Jan Choinski Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.1) |
|
1.58 ↓
(1.67) |
7.2%
(7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Marko Topo - Jan Choinski?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Choinski (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Jan Choinski will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Topo is ranked ATP: 285. Choinski is ranked ATP: 129.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Topo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Topo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Marko Topo won against Jan Choinski?
Marko Topo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jan Choinski won against Marko Topo?
Jan Choinski has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marko Topo - Jan Choinski were as follows:
18.09.2025
Marko Topo
-
Jan Choinski
1:2
Latest results of Marko Topo
Latest results of Jan Choinski
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Mochizuki S. (1) | Arnaboldi F. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Andaloro F. (RET.) (Alt) | Fatic N. | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Travaglia S. | Dodig M. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Karol M. (Q) | Pellegrino A. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Passaro F. (4) | Ribecai M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Sciahbasi L. (WC) | Durasovic V. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Brunold M. (Alt) | Zhukayev B. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Topo M. | Choinski J. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Maestrelli F. (8) | Ruusuvuori E. (PR) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Basile P. (WC) | Gadamauri B. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Visker N. (LL) | Gentzsch T. | |
| 12 | Napolitano S. (PR) | Virtanen O. (3) | |
| 13 | Lajal M. (7) | Vatutin A. (LL) | |
| 14 | Engel J. | Stewart H. (RET.) (Q) | 0 : 0 |
| 15 | Donski A. (Q) | Tabacco F. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Guerrieri A. (Q) | Harris B. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Arnaboldi F. | Fatic N. | |
| 2 | Travaglia S. | Karol M. | |
| 3 | Passaro F. (4) | Sciahbasi L. | |
| 4 | Zhukayev B. | Topo M. | |
| 5 | Maestrelli F. (8) | Gadamauri B. | |
| 6 | TBD #11 | TBD #12 | |
| 7 | TBD #13 | Engel J. | |
| 8 | Donski A. | Guerrieri A. | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
