Result
1:2
18/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 57% | 64% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (41/60) | 72% (44/61) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (18/45) | 46% (16/35) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 57% (4/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 28% (17/61) | 32% (19/60) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (19/35) | 60% (27/45) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 33% (4/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (59/105) | 63% (60/96) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (36/96) | 44% (46/105) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (95/201) | 53% (106/201) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 77% (10/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 29% (4/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 48% (13/27) | 52% (14/27) |
Chances of winning
Marko Topo
50.8% | Jan Choinski
49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marko Topo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marko Topo's performance.Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jan Choinski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marko Topo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jan Choinski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marko Topo - Jan Choinski Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(2.25) |
|
1.95 ↑
(1.56) |
4.9%
(8.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Marko Topo - Jan Choinski?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Topo will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Choinski will win (votes: 18 - 85.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Choinski: 70.7% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Topo is ranked ATP: 282. Choinski is ranked ATP: 227.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Topo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Marko Topo won against Jan Choinski?
Marko Topo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jan Choinski won against Marko Topo?
Jan Choinski has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marko Topo - Jan Choinski were as follows:
Latest results of Marko Topo
Latest results of Jan Choinski
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Martinez P. (RET.) (1) | Topo M. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Choinski J. | Sachko V. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Pavlovic L. | Paroulek T. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Passaro F. | Lajovic D. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Tirante T. A. (4) | Piraino G. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Dodig M. (Alt) | Kolar Z. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Monteiro T. | Merida Aguilar D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Gaubas V. | Burruchaga R. A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Galan D. E. (7) | Diaz Acosta F. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Moeller M. (LL) | Barton H. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Ymer E. (Alt) | Kopp S. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Novak D. (Q) | Carballes Baena R. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Carreno-Busta P. (5) | Neumayer L. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Sorger S. (WC) | Kovalik J. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Stebe C. (LL) | Schwaerzler J. J. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Seyboth Wild T. | Kopriva V. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Topo M. | Choinski J. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Pavlovic L. | Passaro F. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Piraino G. | Kolar Z. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Monteiro T. | Burruchaga R. A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Diaz Acosta F. | Barton H. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Kopp S. | Carballes Baena R. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Carreno-Busta P. (5) | Sorger S. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Kopriva V. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Choinski J. | Passaro F. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kolar Z. | Burruchaga R. A. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Barton H. | Carballes Baena R. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Carreno-Busta P. (5) | Kopriva V. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Choinski J. | Kolar Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Carballes Baena R. (3) | Kopriva V. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Choinski J. | Kopriva V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
