Express vs Maroons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 18

Match Stats

Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
49
Shots on target
33
Corner kicks
05
Total shots
49
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
16
Corner kicks
05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 76', 0 - 1, Nunda J. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Kimera ,

Chances of winning


Express
37.4%
Draw
31.8%
Maroons
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 31.5% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 30.1% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Express has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Maroons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Express than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maroons than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Express - Maroons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.37)
    2.86
    (2.9)
    2.95
    (3.06)
    10.1%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Express won 0.
    • In recent matches, Express has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Maroons has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Express may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Express won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Express won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Express - Maroons were as follows:
    17.12.2025 Maroons - Express 4:0
    05.04.2025 Maroons - Express 1:0
    28.09.2024 Express - Maroons 0:0
    28.03.2024 Maroons - Express 2:0
    24.11.2023 Express - Maroons 0:1
    Latest results of Express
    14.02.2026 Express - Entebbe UPPC 0:0
    31.01.2026 NEC FC - Express 0:0
    28.01.2026 Kitara - Express 1:0
    08.01.2026 Express - Villa 0:1
    Latest results of Maroons
    19.02.2026 Villa - Maroons 2:0
    12.02.2026 Maroons - Kitara 0:1
    31.01.2026 Maroons - Mbarara City 1:1
    27.01.2026 Entebbe UPPC - Maroons 0:0
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers21155142:142850
    2Kitara21144334:132146
    3Kampala City21143434:171745
    4Villa21125431:112041
    5Entebbe UPPC21106518:13536
    6Police21105631:23835
    7NEC FC21810323:16734
    8BUL2186724:20430
    9Maroons2168717:15226
    10Express2158818:22-423
    11URA SC21410718:22-422
    12Lugazi21461115:30-1518
    13Mbarara City21371115:31-1616
    14Buhimba21431415:44-2915
    15UPDF21351314:29-1514
    16Calvary2105167:36-295

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