Result
87:80
17/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Greek Cup - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Greece | ERT 2 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
Chances of winning
Maroussi Athens
28.6% | Aris
71.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maroussi Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maroussi Athens's form might have worsened.Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aris's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maroussi Athens than the current prediction. (+21.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maroussi Athens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-21.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Maroussi Athens - Aris Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(2.05) |
|
1.3 ↓
(1.63) |
7.5%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 169.25
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
What is the prediction for Maroussi Athens - Aris?
Users Predictions:
Aris will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aris will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 82:89.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maroussi won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Maroussi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aris is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Maroussi won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 612:591. (average 87.4:84.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maroussi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 356:338. (average 89:84.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Maroussi Athens won against Aris?
Maroussi Athens has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aris won against Maroussi Athens?
Aris has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Maroussi Athens - Aris were as follows:
18.10.2025
Maroussi Athens
-
Aris
108:103
17.05.2025
Aris
-
Maroussi Athens
114:109
26.04.2025
Maroussi Athens
-
Aris
91:68
01.02.2025
Maroussi Athens
-
Aris
73:78
09.11.2024
Aris
-
Maroussi Athens
72:74
Latest results of Maroussi Athens
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Promitheas | Maroussi | 92 : 100 |
| 2 | Aris | Peristeri | 93 : 75 |
| 3 | Olympiacos | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | AEK Athens | |
| 5 | Iraklis | Kolossos Rhodes | 80 : 76 |
| 6 | Mykonos | AS Karditsas | 76 : 75 |
| 7 | Panathinaikos | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | PAOK | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Maroussi | Aris | 87 : 80 |
| 2 | Olympiacos | AEK Athens | 81 : 67 |
| 3 | Iraklis | Mykonos | 93 : 65 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | PAOK | 101 : 71 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Maroussi | Olympiacos | 67 : 91 |
| 2 | Iraklis | Panathinaikos | 61 : 91 |
Final| 1 | Olympiacos | Panathinaikos | 68 : 79 |
