Chris Padilla vs Marquel Mederos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Chris Padilla
60.3%
Marquel Mederos
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 59.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chris Padilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chris Padilla's performance.
  • Marquel Mederos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marquel Mederos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Chris Padilla - Marquel Mederos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (2.37)

    2.4
    (1.59)
    5.6%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Padilla could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the fighters have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Chris Padilla
    08.11.2025 Chris Padilla - Ismael Bonfim Padilla C. - 2nd Round TKO
    22.03.2025 Jai Herbert - Chris Padilla Padilla C. win
    07.09.2024 Zhu Rong - Chris Padilla Padilla C. - 2nd Round TKO
    27.04.2024 James Llontop - Chris Padilla Padilla C. - 1st Round TKO
    Latest results of Marquel Mederos
    07.06.2025 Marquel Mederos - Mark Choinski Mederos M. win
    31.05.2025 Marquel Mederos - Bolaji Oki Canceled
    29.03.2025 Marquel Mederos - Austin Hubbard Mederos M. win
    13.07.2024 Nazim Sadykhov - Marquel Mederos Canceled
    03.02.2024 Landon Quiñones - Marquel Mederos Mederos M. win