Marreco vs Foz Cataratas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
13/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LNF - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 3', Meleca (Own Goal),
  • 8', Silva A. 🟨,
  • 15', Canhoto (Own Goal),
  • 20', Gabriel Biru 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 29', Bruninho 🟨,
  • 31', Gabriel Farina (Own Goal),
  • 38', Biel (G),
  • 39', Gaucho (G),
  • 39', Gaucho 🟨,
  • 39', Leo Jaragua 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Marreco
39.9%
Draw
21.8%
Foz Cataratas
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 23.1% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 21.9% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marreco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marreco's form might have worsened.
  • Foz Cataratas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Foz Cataratas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marreco than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marreco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foz Cataratas than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Foz Cataratas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Marreco - Foz Cataratas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (1.97)
    4.4
    (3.97)
    2.51
    (3.01)
    4.3%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Marreco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Marreco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marreco won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 2.4:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marreco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:11. (average 2.7:3.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marreco - Foz Cataratas were as follows:
    26.08.2024 Foz Cataratas - Marreco 1:2
    02.09.2023 Marreco - Foz Cataratas 0:4
    Latest results of Marreco
    09.09.2025 Umuarama - Marreco 3:3
    31.08.2025 Marreco - Cruzeiro 12:1
    26.08.2025 Dracena - Marreco 2:3
    19.08.2025 Marreco - Joinville 0:1
    12.08.2025 Praia Clube - Marreco 2:0
    Latest results of Foz Cataratas
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atlantico (1)Umuarama (16)4 : 0, 3 : 1
    2Cascavel (8)Marreco (9)1 : 0, 2 : 2
    3Jaragua (4)Minas (13)3 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Joinville (5)Velez Camaqua (12)2 : 2, 3 : 2
    5Magnus (3)Santo Andre/Intelli (14)7 : 4, 3 : 1
    6Corinthians (6)Carlos Barbosa (11)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    7Praia Clube (2)Foz Cataratas (15)3 : 1, 2 : 4
    8ACMF/Campo Mourao (7)Pato (10)3 : 3, 2 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Atlantico (1)Cascavel (8)3 : 2, 1 : 1
    2Jaragua (4)Joinville (5)4 : 1, 4 : 1
    3Magnus (3)Corinthians (6)6 : 5, 2 : 4
    4Praia Clube (2)ACMF/Campo Mourao (7)2 : 2, 0 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Atlantico (1)Jaragua (4)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    2Corinthians (6)ACMF/Campo Mourao (7)3 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Jaragua (4)Corinthians (6)3 : 0, 3 : 3