Result
1:0
25/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Tunisia | Diwan Sport |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', 1 - 0, Chaabani M. ⚽,
- 68', 🟨,
- 86', 🟨,
- 86', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Étoile du Sahel
60% | Draw
25.8% | Marsa
14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Étoile du Sahel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile du Sahel than the current prediction. (-20.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Étoile du Sahel that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marsa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Étoile du Sahel - Marsa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.63) |
3.52 ↑
(3.35) |
6.4 ↑
(5) |
10.1%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile du Sahel won 5.
- In recent matches, Étoile du Sahel has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Marsa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Étoile du Sahel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Étoile du Sahel is considered a favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Étoile du Sahel won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 2.1:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Étoile du Sahel won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile du Sahel won against Marsa?
Étoile du Sahel has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marsa won against Étoile du Sahel?
Marsa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Étoile du Sahel - Marsa were as follows:
29.10.2025
Marsa
-
Étoile du Sahel
0:2
Latest results of Étoile du Sahel
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Club Africain | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 41:9 | 32 | 62 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43:10 | 33 | 57 |
| 3 | CS Sfaxien | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 38:12 | 26 | 56 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 27:14 | 13 | 44 |
| 5 | Monastir | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 42 |
| 6 | Etoile Sahel | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 38 |
| 7 | Metlaoui | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 36 |
| 8 | JS Omrane | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 21:28 | -7 | 35 |
| 9 | Ben Guerdane | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 18:21 | -3 | 34 |
| 10 | CA Bizertin | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 17:24 | -7 | 33 |
| 11 | Zarzis | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 32 |
| 12 | AS Marsa | 27 | 10 | 1 | 16 | 22:27 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Olympique Beja | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 15:37 | -22 | 28 |
| 14 | JS Kairouan | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 19:41 | -22 | 27 |
| 15 | Soliman | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 14:28 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | AS Gabes | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 11:35 | -24 | 18 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
