Result
3:2
11/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 11
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 6', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 13', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 64', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 79', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Melita
55.3% | Draw
23.9% | Marsa
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melita's form might have worsened.Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melita than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melita that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Melita - Marsa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.49) |
3.77 ↓
(4.1) |
4.34 ↓
(5.43) |
11%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Melita - Marsa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: ) and 14 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melita won 3.
- Recent performances by Melita have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Marsa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Marsa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Melita is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Melita won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:11. (average 2.8:1.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Melita won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Melita won against Marsa?
Melita has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marsa won against Melita?
Marsa has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melita - Marsa were as follows:
03.03.2024
Marsa
-
Melita
0:4
21.10.2023
Marsa
-
Melita
3:3
15.11.2022
Marsa
-
Melita
2:3
30.10.2022
Marsa
-
Melita
0:2
Maltese Challenge League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mgarr | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Santa Lucia | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 30:27 | 3 | 22 |
| 3 | Gudja | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 22 |
| 4 | Zurrieq | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 25:29 | -4 | 17 |
| 5 | Vittoriosa | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 16 |
| 6 | Zebbug | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 16:38 | -22 | 12 |
| 7 | Marsa | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 21:32 | -11 | 9 |
| 8 | Mtarfa | 17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9:78 | -69 | -2 |
Relegation
