Melita vs Marsa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
11/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Round 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
66
Corner kicks
812
Total shots
99
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
33
Corner kicks
812

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, ,
  • 6', 2 - 0, ,
  • 13', 3 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 64', 3 - 1, ,
  • 79', 3 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Melita
55.3%
Draw
23.9%
Marsa
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.1% 22.2% 16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 17.3% 21.5%

Melita - Marsa Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.63
(1.49)
3.77
(4.1)
4.34
(5.43)
11%
(9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Melita - Marsa?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: ) and 14 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melita won 3.
    • Recent performances by Melita have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Marsa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Marsa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Melita is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Melita won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:11. (average 2.8:1.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Melita won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melita - Marsa were as follows:
    03.03.2024 Marsa - Melita 0:4
    21.10.2023 Marsa - Melita 3:3
    15.11.2022 Marsa - Melita 2:3
    30.10.2022 Marsa - Melita 0:2
    Latest results of Melita
    13.12.2025 St. Andrews - Melita 1:0
    10.12.2025 Mġarr United - Melita 1:3
    30.11.2025 Melita - Pietà Hotspurs 3:1
    22.11.2025 Sirens - Melita 2:1
    Latest results of Marsa
    04.01.2026 Marsa - Naxxar Lions 0:3
    21.12.2025 Marsa - St. Andrews 1:2
    10.12.2025 Swieqi United - Marsa 1:2
    29.11.2025 Marsa - Mġarr United 2:3
    Maltese Challenge League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Balzan14102233:92432
    2Melita1492335:171829
    3Birzebbuga1491426:151128
    4Sirens1482431:191226
    5Swieqi1482430:22826
    6Fgura1481532:221025
    7Mgarr1463528:24421
    8Pieta1463524:20421
    9Gudja1456316:13321
    10St. Andrews1462617:22-520
    11Santa Lucia1446426:23318
    12Zurrieq1442820:24-414
    13Vittoriosa1433817:23-612
    14Marsa1424817:24-78
    15Zebbug1422109:34-258
    16Mtarfa1411129:59-50-2

          Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )
          Challenge League (Relegation Group: )