Marta Kostyuk vs Karolina Muchova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Wuhan Marta Kostyuk - Karolina Muchova
Result
1:2
07/10/2025 at 00:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Wuhan, hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
104
1st Serve Percentage
63%65%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (35/60)67% (37/55)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (19/35)50% (15/30)
Break Points Saved
64% (7/11)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
33% (18/55)42% (25/60)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (15/30)46% (16/35)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)36% (4/11)
Service Points Won
56% (53/94)61% (53/87)
Return Points Won
39% (34/87)44% (41/94)
Total Points Won
48% (87/181)52% (94/181)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
30
Service Games Won
69% (9/13)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)31% (4/13)
Total Games Won
46% (12/26)54% (14/26)

Chances of winning


Marta Kostyuk
51%
Karolina Muchova
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 61.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marta Kostyuk's performance.
  • Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karolina Muchova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marta Kostyuk that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karolina Muchova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marta Kostyuk - Karolina Muchova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (2.37)

    1.93
    (1.58)
    4.3%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Marta Kostyuk - Karolina Muchova?
  • Users Predictions: Marta Kostyuk will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Marta Kostyuk will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 28. Muchova is ranked WTA: 15.
    • Kostyuk is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Muchova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kostyuk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marta Kostyuk - Karolina Muchova were as follows:
    01.09.2025 Marta Kostyuk - Karolina Muchova 1:2
    Latest results of Marta Kostyuk
    Latest results of Karolina Muchova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Sramkova R.Kalinskaya A.2 : 1
    3Zakharova A. (Q)Kenin S.1 : 2
    4Arango E. (LL)Samsonova L. (16)0 : 2
    5Osaka N. (11)Fernandez L.2 : 1
    6Noskova L.Putintseva Y. (Q)2 : 1
    7Kessler M.Cristian J.1 : 2
    8ByeRybakina E. (8)
    9Jovic I. (LL)Bye
    10Gracheva V. (Q)Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    11Zhu L.Joint M.0 : 2
    12Siniakova K. (Q)Shnaider D. (15)2 : 0
    13Alexandrova E. (9)Mboko V.2 : 0
    14Raducanu E. (RET.)Li A.0 : 1
    15Krueger A.Baptiste H.1 : 2
    16ByePegula J. (6)
    17Andreeva M. (5)Bye
    18Yastremska D. (RET.)Siegemund L.1 : 1
    19Frech M.Kudermetova V.2 : 1
    20Kostyuk M.Muchova K. (12)1 : 2
    21Navarro E. (14)Zhang S. (WC)1 : 2
    22Cirstea S.Ostapenko J. (RET.)1 : 0
    23Uchijima M. (Q)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    24ByeGauff C. (3)
    25Paolini J. (7)Bye
    26Bronzetti L. (Q)Yuan Y. (WC)0 : 2
    27Ruzic A. (Q)Linette M.2 : 0
    28Danilovic O.Tauson C. (10)0 : 2
    29Bencic B. (13)Vekic D. (WC)2 : 0
    30Mertens E.Kudermetova P. (Q)2 : 0
    31Osorio C. (WC)Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    32ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Sramkova R.2 : 1
    2Kenin S.Samsonova L. (16)1 : 2
    3Osaka N. (11)Noskova L.0 : 2
    4Cristian J.Rybakina E. (8)0 : 2
    5Jovic I.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    6Joint M.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    7Alexandrova E. (9)Li A.2 : 0
    8Baptiste H.Pegula J. (6)1 : 2
    9Andreeva M. (5)Siegemund L.1 : 2
    10Frech M.Muchova K. (RET.) (12)1 : 0
    11Zhang S.Cirstea S.2 : 1
    12Uchijima M.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    13Paolini J. (7)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    14Ruzic A.Tauson C. (10)0 : 2
    15Bencic B. (WO.) (13)Mertens E.
    16Bouzkova M.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Samsonova L. (16)2 : 0
    2Noskova L.Rybakina E. (8)0 : 2
    3Jovic I.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    4Alexandrova E. (9)Pegula J. (6)1 : 2
    5Siegemund L.Frech M.2 : 0
    6Zhang S.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    7Paolini J. (7)Tauson C. (RET.) (10)1 : 1
    8Bencic B. (13)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Rybakina E. (8)2 : 0
    2Siniakova K.Pegula J. (6)1 : 2
    3Siegemund L.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    4Paolini J. (7)Swiatek I. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Pegula J. (6)1 : 2
    2Gauff C. (3)Paolini J. (7)2 : 0

    Final
    1Pegula J. (6)Gauff C. (3)0 : 2