Result
1:2
07/10/2025 at 00:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Wuhan, hard - 1/32-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 63% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (35/60) | 67% (37/55) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (19/35) | 50% (15/30) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 50% (3/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (18/55) | 42% (25/60) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (15/30) | 46% (16/35) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 36% (4/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (53/94) | 61% (53/87) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (34/87) | 44% (41/94) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (87/181) | 52% (94/181) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 77% (10/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 31% (4/13) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 46% (12/26) | 54% (14/26) |
Chances of winning
Marta Kostyuk
51% | Karolina Muchova
49% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marta Kostyuk's performance.Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karolina Muchova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-12.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marta Kostyuk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+12.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karolina Muchova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marta Kostyuk - Karolina Muchova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.37) |
|
1.93 ↑
(1.58) |
4.3%
(5.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Marta Kostyuk - Karolina Muchova?
Users Predictions:
Marta Kostyuk will win
(30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Marta Kostyuk will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 28. Muchova is ranked WTA: 15.
- Kostyuk is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Muchova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kostyuk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Marta Kostyuk won against Karolina Muchova?
Marta Kostyuk has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karolina Muchova won against Marta Kostyuk?
Karolina Muchova has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marta Kostyuk - Karolina Muchova were as follows:
01.09.2025
Marta Kostyuk
-
Karolina Muchova
1:2
Latest results of Marta Kostyuk
Latest results of Karolina Muchova
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Sramkova R. | Kalinskaya A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Zakharova A. (Q) | Kenin S. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Arango E. (LL) | Samsonova L. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Osaka N. (11) | Fernandez L. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Noskova L. | Putintseva Y. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Kessler M. | Cristian J. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Rybakina E. (8) | |
| 9 | Jovic I. (LL) | Bye | |
| 10 | Gracheva V. (Q) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Zhu L. | Joint M. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Siniakova K. (Q) | Shnaider D. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Alexandrova E. (9) | Mboko V. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Raducanu E. (RET.) | Li A. | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Krueger A. | Baptiste H. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Pegula J. (6) | |
| 17 | Andreeva M. (5) | Bye | |
| 18 | Yastremska D. (RET.) | Siegemund L. | 1 : 1 |
| 19 | Frech M. | Kudermetova V. | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Kostyuk M. | Muchova K. (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Navarro E. (14) | Zhang S. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 22 | Cirstea S. | Ostapenko J. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 23 | Uchijima M. (Q) | Wang Xin. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Gauff C. (3) | |
| 25 | Paolini J. (7) | Bye | |
| 26 | Bronzetti L. (Q) | Yuan Y. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Ruzic A. (Q) | Linette M. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Danilovic O. | Tauson C. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Bencic B. (13) | Vekic D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Mertens E. | Kudermetova P. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Osorio C. (WC) | Bouzkova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Sramkova R. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Kenin S. | Samsonova L. (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Osaka N. (11) | Noskova L. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Cristian J. | Rybakina E. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Jovic I. | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Joint M. | Siniakova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Alexandrova E. (9) | Li A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Baptiste H. | Pegula J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Andreeva M. (5) | Siegemund L. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Frech M. | Muchova K. (RET.) (12) | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Zhang S. | Cirstea S. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Uchijima M. | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Paolini J. (7) | Yuan Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Ruzic A. | Tauson C. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bencic B. (WO.) (13) | Mertens E. | |
| 16 | Bouzkova M. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Samsonova L. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Noskova L. | Rybakina E. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Jovic I. | Siniakova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Alexandrova E. (9) | Pegula J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Siegemund L. | Frech M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Zhang S. | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Paolini J. (7) | Tauson C. (RET.) (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Bencic B. (13) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rybakina E. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Siniakova K. | Pegula J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Siegemund L. | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Paolini J. (7) | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Pegula J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Gauff C. (3) | Paolini J. (7) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Pegula J. (6) | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
