Martin Damm vs Roberto Bautista-Agut – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
04/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier, hard - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV

Match Stats

Aces
112
Double Faults
20
1st serve percentage
69%69%
1st serve points won
81% (22/27)51% (18/35)
2nd serve points won
83% (10/12)50% (8/16)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)43% (3/7)
1st return points won
49% (17/35)19% (5/27)
2nd return points won
50% (8/16)17% (2/12)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)0% (0/0)
Winners
373
Unforced errors
1910
Net points won
100% (4/4)100% (1/1)
Service Points Won
82% (32/39)51% (26/51)
Return Points Won
49% (25/51)18% (7/39)
Total Points Won
63% (57/90)37% (33/90)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
02
Service games won
100% (8/8)50% (4/8)
Return games won
50% (4/8)0% (0/8)
Total games won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Martin Damm
56.7%
Roberto Bautista-Agut
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 59.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Martin Damm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Martin Damm's performance.
  • Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roberto Bautista-Agut might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Martin Damm that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roberto Bautista-Agut could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Martin Damm - Roberto Bautista-Agut Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (2.29)

    2.19
    (1.61)
    5.5%
    (6.1%)
    What is the prediction for Martin Damm - Roberto Bautista-Agut?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Games - Damm (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Games - Damm (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Martin Damm will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Martin Damm will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Damm (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Bautista-Agut (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Damm is ranked ATP: 160. Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 89.
    • Recent performances by Damm have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bautista-Agut's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Damm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Martin Damm
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Bye
    2Medjedovic H.Wawrinka S. (WC)0 : 2
    3Vavassori A. (Q)Blanchet U. (LL)0 : 2
    4Royer V.Fils A. (6)1 : 2
    5Griekspoor T. (4)Bye
    6Kecmanovic M.Carreno-Busta P.1 : 2
    7Droguet T. (Q)Choinski J.2 : 0
    8Kouame M. (Q)Kovacevic A. (8)1 : 2
    9Humbert U. (5)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 0
    10Martinez P.Mannarino A.0 : 2
    11Gea A. (WC)Mpetshi Perricard G. (RET.)1 : 0
    12ByeMachac T. (3)
    13Hurkacz H. (7)Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    14Bautista-Agut R.O'Connell C.2 : 1
    15Basilashvili N.Nardi L.0 : 2
    16ByeCobolli F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    2Blanchet U.Fils A. (6)0 : 2
    3Griekspoor T. (4)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    4Droguet T.Kovacevic A. (8)2 : 1
    5Humbert U. (5)Mannarino A.1 : 2
    6Gea A.Machac T. (RET.) (3)1 : 0
    7Damm M.Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0
    8Nardi L.Cobolli F. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Fils A. (6)2 : 0
    2Griekspoor T. (4)Droguet T.0 : 2
    3Mannarino A.Gea A.2 : 1
    4Damm M.Nardi L.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Droguet T.2 : 1
    2Mannarino A.Damm M.2 : 1

    Final
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Mannarino A.2 : 0