Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo Arnaldi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Tokyo Marton Fucsovics - Matteo Arnaldi
Result
2:0
23/09/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
58%67%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (25/40)61% (27/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
72% (21/29)36% (8/22)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)43% (3/7)
1st Return Points Won
39% (17/44)40% (16/40)
2nd Return Points Won
64% (14/22)28% (8/29)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)25% (1/4)
Service Points Won
67% (46/69)53% (35/66)
Return Points Won
47% (31/66)33% (23/69)
Total Points Won
57% (77/135)43% (58/135)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
90% (9/10)60% (6/10)
Return Games Won
40% (4/10)10% (1/10)
Total Games Won
65% (13/20)35% (7/20)

Chances of winning


Marton Fucsovics
55%
Matteo Arnaldi
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marton Fucsovics has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marton Fucsovics than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Marton Fucsovics - Matteo Arnaldi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.71)

    2.09
    (1.97)
    6.5%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Marton Fucsovics - Matteo Arnaldi?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fucsovics will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fucsovics: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fucsovics (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fucsovics is ranked ATP: 58. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 73.
    • Recent performances by Fucsovics have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Arnaldi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Fucsovics may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fucsovics won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marton Fucsovics - Matteo Arnaldi were as follows:
    08.01.2024 Matteo Arnaldi - Marton Fucsovics Canceled
    02.01.2024 Matteo Arnaldi - Marton Fucsovics 2:1
    03.01.2023 Marton Fucsovics - Matteo Arnaldi 2:1
    Latest results of Marton Fucsovics
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Bergs Z.Tabilo A.2 : 1
    3Thompson J.Nakashima B.1 : 2
    4Fucsovics M. (Q)Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 1
    5Ruud C. (4)Mochizuki S. (WC)2 : 1
    6Munar J.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    7Dzumhur D.Vukic A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Shapovalov D. (7)2 : 0
    9Humbert U. (6)Brooksby J. (PR)0 : 2
    10Nishioka Y. (WC)Darderi L.0 : 2
    11Michelsen A.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    12Medjedovic H.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    13Machac T. (5)Shimabukuro S. (Q)0 : 2
    14Giron M.Korda S.1 : 2
    15Watanuki Y. (WC)Borges N.1 : 2
    16Diallo G.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    2Nakashima B.Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    3Ruud C. (4)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    4Vukic A.Altmaier D.2 : 0
    5Brooksby J.Darderi L.2 : 0
    6Quinn E.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    7Shimabukuro S.Korda S.0 : 2
    8Borges N.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    2Ruud C. (4)Vukic A.2 : 0
    3Brooksby J.Rune H. (3)2 : 0
    4Korda S.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    2Brooksby J.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fritz T. (2)2 : 0