Moroka Swallows vs Marumo Gallants: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer South African Premier Soccer League Moroka Swallows - Marumo Gallants
Result
2:0
20/05/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AFRICA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 30
Moroka Swallows - Marumo Gallants - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Moroka Swallows
29.3%
Draw
31.9%
Marumo Gallants
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 33.9% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 33.1% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moroka Swallows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moroka Swallows's form might have worsened.
  • Marumo Gallants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marumo Gallants's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moroka Swallows than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moroka Swallows, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marumo Gallants than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marumo Gallants, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Moroka Swallows - Marumo Gallants Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.17
    (2.64)
    2.9
    (2.75)
    2.39
    (3.02)
    7.9%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Moroka Swallows - Marumo Gallants?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Moroka Swallows will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Marumo Gallants will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Moroka Swallows: 4%71%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Motsepe Foundation Championship (Relegation Group: )).
    • Moroka Swallows has the most likely position - 9 (28.06%), project points - 38, currently - 37, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ccl.
    • Marumo Gallants has the most likely position - 14 (42.97%), project points - 30, currently - 29, a chance of relegated (36%), not chance of qualify for ccl.
    • This event has small quality 10, importance 50, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Moroka Swallows won 0.
    • Moroka Swallows is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Marumo Gallants is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Marumo Gallants could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Moroka Swallows won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Moroka Swallows won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moroka Swallows - Marumo Gallants were as follows:
    04.09.2022 Marumo Gallants - Moroka Swallows 1:1
    Latest results of Moroka Swallows
    Latest results of Marumo Gallants
    South African Premier Soccer League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orbit College42202:028
    2Cape Town City40312:3-13
    3Casric Stars40312:3-13

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