Mārupe vs Olaine – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Nakotnes liga - Round 24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Sula M. , Cebotarjovs V. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 0, Sula M. , Korsaks K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 57', 3 - 0, Oliynyk M. , Jansons K. (A),
  • 71', 3 - 1, Pantelejevs K. , Pavlenko E. (A),
  • 85', 4 - 1, Korzans R. , Zarovs N. (A),
  • 90+2', 5 - 1, Cebotarjovs V. ,

Chances of winning


Mārupe
67.8%
Draw
18.4%
Olaine
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.9% 18.5% 13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1% 17.7% 14.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Olaine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olaine than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Mārupe - Olaine Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.35)
    4.94
    (4.96)
    6.58
    (6.71)
    9.9%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Relegation).
    • Mārupe is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Olaine has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Olaine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mārupe is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mārupe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 2.3:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mārupe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mārupe - Olaine were as follows:
    29.06.2025 Olaine - Mārupe 1:4
    29.09.2024 Olaine - Mārupe 5:1
    25.05.2024 Mārupe - Olaine 2:1
    Latest results of Mārupe
    05.10.2025 Rēzekne - Mārupe 2:1
    28.09.2025 Mārupe - Skanstes 0:1
    20.09.2025 Riga 2 - Mārupe 1:0
    14.09.2025 Mārupe - JDFS Alberts 2:1
    01.09.2025 Rīgas FS 2 - Mārupe 4:1
    Latest results of Olaine
    18.10.2025 Olaine - Skanstes 3:0
    04.10.2025 Riga 2 - Olaine 7:2
    28.09.2025 Olaine - JDFS Alberts 1:6
    20.09.2025 Rīgas FS 2 - Olaine 1:2
    13.09.2025 Olaine - Smiltene 3:2
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1GrobinaAlberts JDFS1 : 0, 0 : 0