Result
5:1
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Sula M. ⚽, Cebotarjovs V. (A),
- 45', 2 - 0, Sula M. ⚽, Korsaks K. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 57', 3 - 0, Oliynyk M. ⚽, Jansons K. (A),
- 71', 3 - 1, Pantelejevs K. ⚽, Pavlenko E. (A),
- 85', 4 - 1, Korzans R. ⚽, Zarovs N. (A),
- 90+2', 5 - 1, Cebotarjovs V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mārupe 67.8% | Draw 18.4% | Olaine 13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Olaine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olaine than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Mārupe - Olaine Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.34 ↓ (1.35) |
4.94 ↓ (4.96) |
6.58 ↓ (6.71) |
9.9% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Relegation).
- Mārupe is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Olaine has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Olaine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Mārupe is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mārupe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 2.3:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Mārupe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mārupe won against Olaine?
Mārupe has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olaine won against Mārupe?
Olaine has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mārupe - Olaine were as follows:
29.06.2025
Olaine
-
Mārupe
1:4
29.09.2024
Olaine
-
Mārupe
5:1
25.05.2024
Mārupe
-
Olaine
2:1
Latvian 1 Liga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valmiera | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20:6 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Metta | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22:3 | 19 | 15 |
| 3 | Leevon PPK | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Riga Mariners | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:7 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Marupe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:5 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Alberts JDFS | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Super Nova 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Riga FC 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 10 | Skanste | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | JFK Ventspils | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 | FK Smiltene | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8:21 | -13 | 3 |
| 13 | RFS 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 2 |
| 14 | Rezekne | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:22 | -18 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Virsliga
Promotion ~ Virsliga (Promotion: )
Relegation