Mārupe vs Riga 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Latvian 1 Liga Mārupe - Riga 2
Result
2:0
11/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Nakotnes liga - Round 7

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Roga R. ,
  • 29', Steinbergs T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Regza M. , Jackson Kenio ,
  • 46', Iago Siqueira , Grimaldo J. ,
  • 46', Paulo Eduardo , Muzinga N. ,
  • 50', 2 - 0, Strauss G. ,
  • 51', Roga R. 🟨,
  • 59', Steinbergs T. , Calitis M. ,
  • 61', Sadovnikovs R. 🟨,
  • 62', Blaubergs M. , Sarma T. ,
  • 71', Sadovnikovs R. , Dobrajs M. ,
  • 71', Roga R. , Zags T. ,
  • 71', Blazevics J. 🟨,
  • 84', Krievins R. , Hons R. ,
  • 84', Oliynyk M. , Julmanis A. ,
  • 86', Ozolins R. , Nazarovs D. ,

Chances of winning


Mārupe
37.6%
Draw
23.1%
Riga 2
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 22.4% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 21.5% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Riga 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga 2 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Mārupe - Riga 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.23)
    3.92
    (4.08)
    2.3
    (2.51)
    10.5%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Nakotnes liga (Relegation)).
    • Recent performances by Mārupe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Riga 2 is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Riga 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mārupe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mārupe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mārupe - Riga 2 were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Riga 2 - Mārupe 2:1
    27.07.2024 Mārupe - Riga 2 0:0
    Latest results of Mārupe
    02.05.2025 JDFS Alberts - Mārupe 1:0
    27.04.2025 Mārupe - Rīgas FS 2 1:2
    19.04.2025 Smiltene - Mārupe 1:2
    12.04.2025 Mārupe - Riga Mariners 1:2
    06.04.2025 Mārupe - Augšdaugavas 2:0
    Latest results of Riga 2
    04.05.2025 Riga 2 - Skanstes 0:1
    27.04.2025 Riga 2 - Rēzekne 2:3
    18.04.2025 JDFS Alberts - Riga 2 4:0
    14.04.2025 Riga 2 - Rīgas FS 2 2:2
    06.04.2025 Smiltene - Riga 2 5:1
    Latvian 1 Liga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ogre United1492336:171929
    2Riga Mariners1392237:162129
    3Alberts JDFS1384130:111928
    4JFK Ventspils1376020:11927
    5RFS 21465325:17823
    6Skanste1464419:20-122
    7Marupe1361617:14319
    8Leevon PPK1453624:23118
    9Rezekne1444616:33-1716
    10FK Smiltene1351725:23216
    11Tukums 2000 21331913:26-1310
    12Augsdaugavas1423910:28-189
    13AFA Olaine1322918:37-198
    14Riga FC 21314812:26-147

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