Result
2:0
11/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Roga R. ⚽,
- 29', Steinbergs T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Regza M. ↓, Jackson Kenio ↑,
- 46', Iago Siqueira ↓, Grimaldo J. ↑,
- 46', Paulo Eduardo ↓, Muzinga N. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 0, Strauss G. ⚽,
- 51', Roga R. 🟨,
- 59', Steinbergs T. ↓, Calitis M. ↑,
- 61', Sadovnikovs R. 🟨,
- 62', Blaubergs M. ↓, Sarma T. ↑,
- 71', Sadovnikovs R. ↓, Dobrajs M. ↑,
- 71', Roga R. ↓, Zags T. ↑,
- 71', Blazevics J. 🟨,
- 84', Krievins R. ↓, Hons R. ↑,
- 84', Oliynyk M. ↓, Julmanis A. ↑,
- 86', Ozolins R. ↓, Nazarovs D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mārupe 37.6% | Draw 23.1% | Riga 2 39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Riga 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga 2 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Mārupe - Riga 2 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.41 ↑ (2.23) |
3.92 ↓ (4.08) |
2.3 ↓ (2.51) |
10.5% (9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Nakotnes liga (Relegation)).
- Recent performances by Mārupe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Riga 2 is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Riga 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mārupe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Mārupe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Mārupe won against Riga 2?
Mārupe has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Riga 2 won against Mārupe?
Riga 2 has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mārupe - Riga 2 were as follows:
10.11.2024
Riga 2
-
Mārupe
2:1
27.07.2024
Mārupe
-
Riga 2
0:0
Latvian 1 Liga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Riga Mariners | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 52:21 | 31 | 42 |
2 | Ogre United | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 53:17 | 36 | 41 |
3 | Alberts JDFS | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 41:17 | 24 | 39 |
4 | JFK Ventspils | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 32:16 | 16 | 37 |
5 | RFS 2 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 34:20 | 14 | 32 |
6 | Skanste | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:29 | -4 | 26 |
7 | Marupe | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
8 | Leevon PPK | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 24 |
9 | FK Smiltene | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 35:32 | 3 | 22 |
10 | Rezekne | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:39 | -19 | 21 |
11 | Tukums 2000 2 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 23:41 | -18 | 13 |
12 | Augsdaugavas | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15:35 | -20 | 13 |
13 | AFA Olaine | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 22:63 | -41 | 9 |
14 | Riga FC 2 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15:35 | -20 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Virsliga
Promotion ~ Virsliga (Promotion: )
Nakotnes liga (Relegation)
Relegation