Marvin Moeller vs Arthur Nagel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
14/03/2026 at 09:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Creteil, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
73

Chances of winning


Marvin Moeller
63.2%
Arthur Nagel
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3% 39.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marvin Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Arthur Nagel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Marvin Moeller - Arthur Nagel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.49)

    2.53
    (2.4)
    7.6%
    (8.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Moeller is ranked ATP: 456. Nagel is ranked ATP: 529.
    • Moeller is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Nagel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Moeller may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Moeller is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Marvin Moeller
    Latest results of Arthur Nagel
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Broom C. (1)Raquillet L.2 : 0
    2Massard L.Agwi M.2 : 0
    3Honda N.Summers M.2 : 0
    4Kaouk M.Malige M. (6)0 : 2
    5Masur D. (4)Guiovanna N.2 : 0
    6Deleersnyder C.Naw H.0 : 2
    7Lagarrigue L.Matusevich A.0 : 2
    8Livet Novkirichka F.Zakaria F. (RET.) (8)1 : 0
    9Moeller M. (5)Bertimon M.2 : 1
    10Wehnelt K.Gerbaud T.2 : 1
    11Tepmahc N.Jade D.2 : 1
    12Picard M.Stewart H. (3)1 : 2
    13Nagel A. (7)Karma N.2 : 1
    14Sorger S.M'Chich A.2 : 0
    15Trufelli T.Andres R.2 : 0
    16Donald M.Stricker D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Broom C. (1)Massard L.2 : 0
    2Honda N.Malige M. (6)0 : 2
    3Masur D. (4)Naw H.0 : 2
    4Matusevich A.Livet Novkirichka F.2 : 0
    5Moeller M. (5)Wehnelt K.2 : 0
    6Tepmahc N.Stewart H. (3)0 : 2
    7Nagel A. (7)Sorger S.2 : 0
    8Trufelli T.Stricker D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Broom C. (1)Malige M. (6)2 : 0
    2Naw H.Matusevich A.0 : 2
    3Moeller M. (5)Stewart H. (3)2 : 0
    4Nagel A. (7)Stricker D. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Broom C. (1)Matusevich A.2 : 0
    2Moeller M. (5)Nagel A. (7)2 : 1

    Final
    1Broom C. (1)Moeller M. (5)