Marvin Moeller vs Jozef Kovalik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Szczecin Challenger Men Marvin Moeller - Jozef Kovalik
Result
0:2
08/09/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Szczecin - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
05
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
44%63%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (16/25)81% (26/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (14/32)53% (10/19)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
19% (6/32)36% (9/25)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (9/19)56% (18/32)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
53% (30/57)71% (36/51)
Return Points Won
29% (15/51)47% (27/57)
Total Points Won
42% (45/108)58% (63/108)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
50% (4/8)89% (8/9)
Return Games Won
11% (1/9)50% (4/8)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Marvin Moeller
45.3%
Jozef Kovalik
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 47.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marvin Moeller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marvin Moeller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jozef Kovalik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Marvin Moeller - Jozef Kovalik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.84)

    1.69
    (1.84)
    7.9%
    (8.7%)
    What is the prediction for Marvin Moeller - Jozef Kovalik?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Moeller will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Kovalik will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Moeller is ranked ATP: 428. Kovalik is ranked ATP: 577.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Moeller may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Marvin Moeller
    Latest results of Jozef Kovalik
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Michalski D.2 : 0
    2Pavlovic L.Dedura D. (NG)0 : 2
    3Kuzmanov D.Wazny A. (WC)2 : 0
    4Llamas Ruiz P. (PR)Monteiro T. (8)2 : 0
    5Passaro F. (3)Juszczak D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Gakhov I.Squire H. (Q)1 : 2
    7Ymer E.Diaz Acosta F.0 : 2
    8Barton H. (Alt)Burruchaga R. A. (6)2 : 1
    9Pellegrino A. (5)Lange M. (WC)2 : 0
    10Rodriguez Taverna S.Molleker R. (Q)1 : 2
    11Blancaneaux G.Bocchi L. (Q)2 : 0
    12Sanchez Izquierdo N. (Alt)Galan D. E. (4)1 : 2
    13Choinski J. (7)Sachko V.1 : 2
    14Pereira T.Paulson A. (RET.) (SE)1 : 0
    15Vrbensky M. (Q)Kovalik J. (Q)0 : 2
    16Vatutin A. (Q)Tirante T. A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Dedura D.2 : 0
    2Kuzmanov D.Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    3Passaro F. (3)Squire H.1 : 2
    4Diaz Acosta F.Barton H.2 : 1
    5Pellegrino A. (5)Molleker R.2 : 0
    6Blancaneaux G.Galan D. E. (4)2 : 0
    7Sachko V.Pereira T.2 : 1
    8Kovalik J.Tirante T. A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Llamas Ruiz P.1 : 2
    2Squire H.Diaz Acosta F.1 : 2
    3Pellegrino A. (5)Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    4Sachko V.Tirante T. A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Llamas Ruiz P.Diaz Acosta F.2 : 1
    2Blancaneaux G.Tirante T. A. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1TBD #1Tirante T. A. (2)