Katherine Sebov vs Mary Stoiana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
20/02/2026 at 14:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Midland, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
10
1st serve percentage
78%66%
1st serve points won
56% (29/52)64% (27/42)
2nd serve points won
40% (6/15)59% (13/22)
Break Points Saved
73% (11/15)60% (3/5)
1st return points won
38% (16/42)44% (23/52)
2nd return points won
41% (9/22)60% (9/15)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)27% (4/15)
Service Points Won
52% (35/67)63% (40/64)
Return Points Won
38% (24/64)48% (32/67)
Total Points Won
45% (59/131)55% (72/131)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
10
Service games won
56% (5/9)80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)44% (4/9)
Total games won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Katherine Sebov
33.5%
Mary Stoiana
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 62.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Katherine Sebov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Mary Stoiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katherine Sebov than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mary Stoiana than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Katherine Sebov - Mary Stoiana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (2.47)

    1.45
    (1.48)
    3.6%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Katherine Sebov - Mary Stoiana?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sebov (votes: 1 - 50%). Stoiana (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3.5 Games - Stoiana (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sebov (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Stoiana (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sebov is ranked WTA: 270. Stoiana is ranked WTA: 185.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Stoiana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Stoiana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sebov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Katherine Sebov - Mary Stoiana were as follows:
    15.10.2025 Mary Stoiana - Katherine Sebov 1:2
    Latest results of Katherine Sebov
    Latest results of Mary Stoiana
    16.02.2026 Hanna Chang - Mary Stoiana 1:2
    06.02.2026 Kayla Day - Mary Stoiana 2:1
    05.02.2026 Ema Burgic - Mary Stoiana Burgic E. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Krueger A. (1)Sebov K.1 : 2
    2Brace C.Cross K.1 : 2
    3Brengle M.Scott K.2 : 0
    4Chang H.Stoiana M. (8)1 : 2
    5Kalieva E. (3)Rogers A. S.2 : 0
    6Hosogi S. (Q)Liu C.2 : 1
    7Jokic K.Jones E. (WC)2 : 1
    8Guo H.Chirico L. (7)2 : 1
    9Charaeva A. (5)Xu S. (Q)2 : 0
    10Karatancheva L.You X.0 : 2
    11Ansari C.Hibino N.1 : 2
    12Hewitt D. (Q)Osuigwe W. (4)0 : 2
    13Mandlik E. (6)Frey A. (WC)0 : 2
    14Coleman E. (WC)Day K.0 : 2
    15Lee G.Ma L. (Q)2 : 0
    16Sawashiro K. (WC)Vidmanova D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sebov K.Cross K.2 : 0
    2Brengle M.Stoiana M. (8)0 : 2
    3Kalieva E. (3)Hosogi S.2 : 0
    4Jokic K. (RET.)Guo H.0 : 1
    5Charaeva A. (5)You X.2 : 0
    6Hibino N.Osuigwe W. (4)2 : 0
    7Frey A.Day K.2 : 1
    8Lee G.Vidmanova D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sebov K.Stoiana M. (8)0 : 2
    2Kalieva E. (3)Guo H.1 : 2
    3Charaeva A. (5)Hibino N.2 : 0
    4Frey A.Vidmanova D. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Stoiana M. (8)Guo H.1 : 2
    2Charaeva A. (5)Vidmanova D. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Guo H.Charaeva A. (5)0 : 2