Qizilqum vs Mashal Mubarek – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 24
  • Referee: Riskullaev A. (Uzb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
uzbekistanUzbekistanMTRK Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
141
Shots on target
70
Corner Kicks
42
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
141
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
71
Corner Kicks
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Paparyga R. , Norkhonov S. ,
  • 56', Ganikhonov I. , Murodov A. ,
  • 56', Abduraymov S. , Umar A. ,
  • 62', Bekmuradov F. , Turopov S. ,
  • 72', Mijic D. , Kenzhaev I. ,
  • 78', 1 - 0, Kenzhaboev I. ,
  • 80', Turopov S. 🟨,
  • 83', Baratov I. , Mamataliyev D. ,
  • 83', Aliqulov M. , Toshpulatov F. ,
  • 86', Kenzhaboev I. , Muzaffarov A. ,
  • 90', Ochilov S. , Sharipov I. ,

Chances of winning


Qizilqum
46%
Draw
31%
Mashal Mubarek
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 30.4% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 29.3% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Qizilqum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Mashal Mubarek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qizilqum than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mashal Mubarek than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Qizilqum - Mashal Mubarek Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.97)
    3.03
    (3.05)
    4.06
    (4.13)
    6.6%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qizilqum won 3.
    • Qizilqum is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mashal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Qizilqum may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Qizilqum is the team to beat.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Qizilqum won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Qizilqum won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Qizilqum - Mashal Mubarek were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Mashal Mubarek - Qizilqum 2:2
    03.07.2024 Mashal Mubarek - Qizilqum 1:3
    Latest results of Qizilqum
    21.09.2025 Qizilqum - Nasaf Qarshi 0:1
    13.09.2025 Kokand 1912 - Qizilqum 2:1
    22.08.2025 Qizilqum - Bunyodkor 1:1
    18.08.2025 Xorazm Urganch - Qizilqum 0:1
    Latest results of Mashal Mubarek
    Uzbek League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Andijan11004:043
    2Neftchi Fargona11003:033
    3Lok. Tashkent11003:123
    4Pakhtakor11002:023
    5Navbahor Namangan11002:113
    6Bunyodkor11001:013
    7Buxoro11001:013
    8Nasaf Qarshi11001:013
    9Din. Samarkand10011:2-10
    10OKMK10010:1-10
    11Xorazm Urganch10010:1-10
    12Kokand 191210010:1-10
    13Termez Surkhon10011:3-20
    14Qizilqum10010:2-20
    15Mashal Muborak10010:3-30
    16Sogdiana10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Pro Liga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga