Result
2:1
11/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 21
- Referee: Norsafarov F. (Uzb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Uzbekistan | Futbol TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Ochilov S. ⚽, Ismoilov E. (A),
- 41', 2 - 0, Murtazoev K. ⚽, Umar A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Turdialiev A. ↓, Rahmatov B. ↑,
- 46', Mukhtorov F. ↓, Kenzhaboev I. ↑,
- 53', Khamroev U. 🟨,
- 56', 2 - 1, Kholdorkhonov P. (Pen),
- 73', Khakimov J. ↓, Kodirov G. ↑,
- 73', Mannonov J. ↓, Toshkuziev A. ↑,
- 74', Umar A. ↓, Muzaffarov N. ↑,
- 89', Akramov Z. 🟨,
- 89', Akramov Z. ↓, Nuriddinov N. ↑,
- 89', Murtazoev K. ↓, Sharipov I. ↑,
- 90+3', Abduraymov S. ↓, Juraev S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mashal Mubarek
36.3% | Draw
29.1% | Shurtan Guzar
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mashal Mubarek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mashal Mubarek's performance.Shurtan Guzar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shurtan Guzar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mashal Mubarek than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mashal Mubarek that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shurtan Guzar than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shurtan Guzar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mashal Mubarek - Shurtan Guzar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↓
(3.33) |
3.16 ↓
(3.34) |
2.66 ↑
(2.04) |
8.8%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mashal Mubarek - Shurtan Guzar?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Mashal will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Shurtan will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mashal won 5.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mashal won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 2.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mashal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mashal Mubarek won against Shurtan Guzar?
Mashal Mubarek has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shurtan Guzar won against Mashal Mubarek?
Shurtan Guzar has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mashal Mubarek - Shurtan Guzar were as follows:
19.04.2025
Shurtan Guzar
-
Mashal Mubarek
0:1
29.10.2024
Shurtan Guzar
-
Mashal Mubarek
0:1
28.08.2024
Mashal Mubarek
-
Shurtan Guzar
3:1
03.04.2024
Mashal Mubarek
-
Shurtan Guzar
2:0
Latest results of Mashal Mubarek
Latest results of Shurtan Guzar
Uzbek League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nasaf Qarshi | 21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 41:16 | 25 | 46 |
| 2 | Neftchi Fargona | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 33:16 | 17 | 42 |
| 3 | Din. Samarkand | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 30:23 | 7 | 38 |
| 4 | OKMK | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Pakhtakor | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 42:19 | 23 | 36 |
| 6 | Bunyodkor | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 32:21 | 11 | 35 |
| 7 | Navbahor Namangan | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 32 |
| 8 | Qizilqum | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 18:26 | -8 | 26 |
| 9 | Termez Surkhon | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 23 |
| 10 | Sogdiana | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22:25 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Andijan | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25:32 | -7 | 21 |
| 12 | Mashal Muborak | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 18:39 | -21 | 21 |
| 13 | Xorazm Urganch | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 23:26 | -3 | 19 |
| 14 | Kokand 1912 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 18 |
| 15 | Buxoro | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 19:37 | -18 | 17 |
| 16 | Shortan Guzor | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 15:39 | -24 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga
