Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Primera - Apertura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Claro Sports |
 Nicaragua | NicaSports |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 21', 0 - 1, Da Silva R. ⚽,
- 36', 0 - 2, Ayerdis B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 69', Arriola E. 🟥,
- 87', 1 - 2, Coto H. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Real Madriz
29.6% | Draw
26.3% | Matagalpa
44.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madriz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Matagalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madriz than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matagalpa than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matagalpa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Madriz - Matagalpa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↑
(3.01) |
3.54 ↑
(3.49) |
2.11 ↓
(2.17) |
7.7%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 7).
- Real Madriz has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Matagalpa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Real Madriz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Matagalpa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Madriz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madriz won against Matagalpa?
Real Madriz has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Matagalpa won against Real Madriz?
Matagalpa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madriz - Matagalpa were as follows:
26.07.2025
Matagalpa
-
Real Madriz
1:2
Latest results of Real Madriz
Latest results of Matagalpa
Nicaraguan Liga Primera Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Esteli | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | Sport Sebaco | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 22 |
| 3 | Diriangen | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 21 |
| 4 | Managua FC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Ferretti | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 25:18 | 7 | 19 |
| 6 | Matagalpa | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | Jalapa | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 18:23 | -5 | 13 |
| 8 | Rancho Santana | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:30 | -17 | 10 |
| 9 | UNAN-Managua | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Real Madriz | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 13:29 | -16 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)
