Result
2:4
04/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN App |
 Ecuador | DAZN App |
 Mexico | DAZN App |
 Nicaragua | Campeones, NicaSports |
 Paraguay | DAZN App |
 Peru | DAZN App |
 Uruguay | DAZN App |
 Venezuela | DAZN App |
 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 16', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 27', 🟥,
- 44', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', 0 - 4, ⚽,
- 56', 1 - 4, ⚽,
- 62', 2 - 4, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Matagalpa
63.9% | Draw
20.9% | Real Madriz
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matagalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Real Madriz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matagalpa than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matagalpa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madriz than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Matagalpa - Real Madriz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↑
(1.37) |
4.37 ↓
(4.64) |
6.14 ↓
(7.01) |
8.9%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Matagalpa - Real Madriz?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- Matagalpa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Real Madriz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Matagalpa is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Matagalpa will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Matagalpa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Matagalpa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Matagalpa won against Real Madriz?
Matagalpa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madriz won against Matagalpa?
Real Madriz has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matagalpa - Real Madriz were as follows:
31.01.2026
Real Madriz
-
Matagalpa
1:1
05.10.2025
Real Madriz
-
Matagalpa
1:2
26.07.2025
Matagalpa
-
Real Madriz
1:2
Latest results of Matagalpa
Latest results of Real Madriz
Draw
Clausura - WinnersQuarter-finals| 1 | Diriangen (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Managua FC (4) | Matagalpa (5) | 2 : 4 |
| 3 | Esteli (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Jalapa (3) | Ferretti (6) | 3 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Diriangen (1) | Matagalpa (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Esteli (2) | Jalapa (3) | 0 : 0 |
