Matej Dodig vs Federico Arnaboldi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Monza Challenger Men Matej Dodig - Federico Arnaboldi
Result
0:2
07/04/2025 at 10:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
63%51%
1st Serve Points Won
53% (26/49)73% (24/33)
2nd Serve Points Won
34% (10/29)44% (14/32)
Break Points Saved
54% (7/13)43% (3/7)
1st Return Points Won
27% (9/33)47% (23/49)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (18/32)66% (19/29)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)46% (6/13)
Service Points Won
46% (36/78)58% (38/65)
Return Points Won
42% (27/65)54% (42/78)
Total Points Won
44% (63/143)56% (80/143)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
40% (4/10)60% (6/10)
Return Games Won
40% (4/10)60% (6/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Matej Dodig
45.3%
Federico Arnaboldi
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matej Dodig's form might have worsened.
  • Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Arnaboldi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matej Dodig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Arnaboldi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matej Dodig - Federico Arnaboldi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.66)

    1.72
    (2.09)
    7.4%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Matej Dodig - Federico Arnaboldi?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Dodig will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Arnaboldi will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaboldi: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Dodig is ranked ATP: 320. Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 213.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Arnaboldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Dodig won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matej Dodig - Federico Arnaboldi were as follows:
    05.08.2024 Federico Arnaboldi - Matej Dodig 2:0
    15.03.2024 Federico Arnaboldi - Matej Dodig 0:2
    19.03.2023 Matej Dodig - Federico Arnaboldi 2:0
    Latest results of Matej Dodig
    Latest results of Federico Arnaboldi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Collignon R. (1)Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    2Klein L.Sultanov K. (Alt)0 : 2
    3Kuzmanov D. (Q)Gea A.0 : 2
    4Choinski J.Ajdukovic D. (9)2 : 0
    5Coria F. (4)Evans D.2 : 1
    6Nagal S. (RET.) (Q/LL)Misolic F. (Alt)0 : 1
    7Dalla Valle E. (Q)Brunold M. (Q)2 : 1
    8Albot R.Svrcina D. (8)1 : 2
    9Cerundolo J. M. (5)Dellien Velasco M. A. (Alt)2 : 0
    10Dodig M.Arnaboldi F.0 : 2
    11Picchione A. (Q)van Assche L.1 : 2
    12Poljicak M. (Q)Seyboth Wild T. (3)2 : 0
    13Landaluce M. (7)Bertola R. (LL)2 : 0
    14Jubb P.Vasami J. (WC)0 : 2
    15Gigante M.Fellin P. O. (WC)2 : 1
    16Sachko V. (SE)Basavareddy N. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Collignon R. (1)Sultanov K.2 : 1
    2Gea A.Choinski J.1 : 2
    3Coria F. (4)Misolic F.1 : 2
    4Dalla Valle E.Svrcina D. (8)0 : 2
    5Cerundolo J. M. (5)Arnaboldi F.0 : 2
    6van Assche L.Poljicak M.2 : 0
    7Landaluce M. (7)Vasami J.0 : 2
    8Gigante M.Sachko V.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Collignon R. (1)Choinski J. (RET.)1 : 1
    2Misolic F.Svrcina D. (8)1 : 2
    3Arnaboldi F.van Assche L.1 : 2
    4Vasami J.Sachko V.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Collignon R. (1)Svrcina D. (8)2 : 0
    2van Assche L.Sachko V.1 : 2

    Final
    1Collignon R. (1)Sachko V.