Matej Dodig vs Francesco Passaro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Umag Matej Dodig - Francesco Passaro
Result
1:2
20/07/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
64%67%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (29/41)69% (37/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (10/23)70% (19/27)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
31% (17/54)32% (13/41)
2nd Return Points Won
30% (8/27)57% (13/23)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)57% (4/7)
Winners
2025
Unforced Errors
3317
Net Points Won
33% (3/9)79% (11/14)
Service Points Won
60% (38/63)69% (56/81)
Return Points Won
31% (25/81)40% (25/63)
Total Points Won
44% (63/144)56% (81/144)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (8/12)92% (12/13)
Return Games Won
8% (1/13)33% (4/12)
Total Games Won
36% (9/25)64% (16/25)

Chances of winning


Matej Dodig
35.5%
Francesco Passaro
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 56.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matej Dodig's form might have worsened.
  • Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesco Passaro's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matej Dodig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesco Passaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matej Dodig - Francesco Passaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.07)

    1.47
    (1.64)
    5.3%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Matej Dodig - Francesco Passaro?
  • Users Predictions: Matej Dodig will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Dodig is ranked ATP: 246. Passaro is ranked ATP: 131.
    • Dodig is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Passaro has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Dodig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Passaro might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Matej Dodig
    Latest results of Francesco Passaro
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Taberner C.Herbert P.2 : 0
    3De Jong J.Poljicak M. (WC)2 : 0
    4Barrios Vera T.Navone M. (5)0 : 2
    5Dzumhur D. (4)Bye
    6Guillen Meza A. (Q)Wawrinka S.0 : 2
    7Droguet T. (Q)Garin C.2 : 0
    8Collignon R.Kopriva V. (8)1 : 2
    9Majchrzak K. (7)Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)0 : 2
    10Lajovic D.Atmane T.0 : 2
    11Dodig M. (WC)Passaro F.1 : 2
    12ByeUgo Carabelli C. (3)
    13Carballes Baena R. (6)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    14Prizmic D. (WC)Moller E.2 : 0
    15Tseng C. H.Zeppieri G. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Taberner C.1 : 2
    2De Jong J.Navone M. (5)2 : 0
    3Dzumhur D. (4)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    4Droguet T.Kopriva V. (8)2 : 0
    5Llamas Ruiz P.Atmane T.2 : 0
    6Passaro F.Ugo Carabelli C. (3)1 : 2
    7Basilashvili N.Prizmic D.1 : 2
    8Tseng C. H.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Taberner C.De Jong J.2 : 0
    2Dzumhur D. (4)Droguet T.2 : 1
    3Llamas Ruiz P. (RET.)Ugo Carabelli C. (3)0 : 1
    4Prizmic D.Darderi L. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Taberner C.Dzumhur D. (4)2 : 0
    2Ugo Carabelli C. (3)Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Taberner C.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2