Matej Dodig vs Jonas Forejtek – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/02/2026 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
62
Double Faults
10
1st serve percentage
73%45%
1st serve points won
81% (29/36)83% (19/23)
2nd serve points won
77% (10/13)43% (12/28)
Break Points Saved
100% (2/2)0% (0/3)
1st return points won
17% (4/23)19% (7/36)
2nd return points won
57% (16/28)23% (3/13)
Break Points Converted
100% (3/3)0% (0/2)
Winners
256
Unforced errors
1723
Net points won
75% (6/8)67% (2/3)
Service Points Won
80% (39/49)61% (31/51)
Return Points Won
39% (20/51)20% (10/49)
Total Points Won
59% (59/100)41% (41/100)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
01
Service games won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return games won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Matej Dodig
44.6%
Jonas Forejtek
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matej Dodig's form might have worsened.
  • Jonas Forejtek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jonas Forejtek's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matej Dodig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonas Forejtek than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jonas Forejtek, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matej Dodig - Jonas Forejtek Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.75)

    1.69
    (1.96)
    8%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Matej Dodig - Jonas Forejtek?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Dodig will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Forejtek will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Forejtek: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Dodig (votes: 2 - 40%). Forejtek (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Forejtek (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Dodig (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Forejtek (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Dodig is ranked ATP: 230. Forejtek is ranked ATP: 360.
    • In recent matches, Dodig has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Forejtek is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Dodig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Matej Dodig
    Latest results of Jonas Forejtek
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Bernet H. (WC)2 : 0
    2Cassone M.Nesterov P. (LL)1 : 2
    3Dodig M.Forejtek J. (Q)2 : 0
    4Gentzsch T.Skatov T. (7)0 : 2
    5Sachko V. (4)Brunclik P. (Q)0 : 2
    6Schwaerzler J. J.Basic M. (Q)2 : 0
    7Fatic N.Moro Canas A.1 : 2
    8Stricker D. (WC)Grenier H. (6)2 : 0
    9Rybakov A. (LL)Mrva M. (NG)1 : 2
    10Bertola R.Mmoh M.1 : 2
    11Gakhov I.Piraino G. (Q)2 : 1
    12Squire H.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    13Holmgren A. (8)Uchida K.2 : 1
    14Brunold M. (WC)Knaff A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Topo M. (RET.)Huesler M.1 : 1
    16Dietrich D. (Q)Glinka D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Nesterov P.2 : 0
    2Dodig M.Skatov T. (7)2 : 1
    3Brunclik P.Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    4Moro Canas A.Stricker D.0 : 2
    5Mrva M.Mmoh M.2 : 1
    6Gakhov I.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    7Holmgren A. (8)Brunold M.0 : 2
    8Huesler M.Glinka D. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Dodig M.0 : 2
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Stricker D.2 : 0
    3Mrva M.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    4Brunold M.Huesler M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M.Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    2Piros Z. (3)Brunold M.2 : 0

    Final
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Piros Z. (3)1 : 2