Matej Dodig vs Naoki Nakagawa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Kobe Challenger Men Matej Dodig - Naoki Nakagawa
Result
2:1
11/11/2024 at 03:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kobe (Japan), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
1614
Double Faults
92
1st Serve Percentage
58%62%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (53/72)77% (46/60)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (30/52)62% (23/37)
Break Points Saved
83% (5/6)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
25% (15/60)29% (21/72)
2nd Return Points Won
38% (14/37)42% (22/52)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)17% (1/6)
Service Points Won
66% (80/122)71% (68/96)
Return Points Won
29% (28/96)34% (42/122)
Total Points Won
50% (108/218)50% (110/218)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
94% (16/17)82% (14/17)
Return Games Won
18% (3/17)6% (1/17)
Total Games Won
56% (19/34)44% (15/34)

Chances of winning


Matej Dodig
42.3%
Naoki Nakagawa
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 41.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matej Dodig's form might have worsened.
  • Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naoki Nakagawa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matej Dodig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naoki Nakagawa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matej Dodig - Naoki Nakagawa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.62)

    1.62
    (2.19)
    7.1%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Matej Dodig - Naoki Nakagawa?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Dodig will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Nakagawa will win (votes: 11 - 55%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nakagawa: 33.2%76.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Dodig is ranked ATP: 270. Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 375.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Nakagawa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Matej Dodig
    04.11.2024 Matej Dodig - Alex Bolt Dodig M. retired
    08.10.2024 Dennis Novak - Matej Dodig 2:0
    Latest results of Naoki Nakagawa
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Bu Y. (1)Ymer E. (Q)2 : 0
    2Rodionov J.Sakamoto R. (Q)2 : 0
    3Mochizuki S.Tu L.1 : 2
    4Shimabukuro S.Wong C. (8)2 : 0
    5Bellucci M. (3)Shimizu Y.2 : 0
    6Moriya H. (Q)Bolt A.1 : 2
    7Hassan B.Jasika O.2 : 1
    8McCabe J.Gigante M. (5)2 : 1
    9Atmane T. (7)Matsuda R. (WC)2 : 0
    10Polmans M. (RET.)Watanuki Y. (WC)0 : 1
    11Samrej K. (Q)Blockx A.0 : 2
    12Lestienne C.Moreno De Alboran N. (4)2 : 0
    13Uchiyama Y. (6)Den Ouden G. (Q)2 : 0
    14Schoolkate T.Wu Tung-Lin1 : 2
    15Dodig M.Nakagawa N. (WC)2 : 1
    16Uchida K. (Q)Daniel T. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Bu Y. (1)Rodionov J.0 : 2
    2Tu L.Shimabukuro S.1 : 2
    3Bellucci M. (3)Bolt A.2 : 0
    4Hassan B.McCabe J.2 : 0
    5Atmane T. (7)Watanuki Y.0 : 2
    6Blockx A.Lestienne C.2 : 0
    7Uchiyama Y. (6)Wu Tung-Lin2 : 1
    8Dodig M.Daniel T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Rodionov J.Shimabukuro S.2 : 1
    2Bellucci M. (3)Hassan B.2 : 0
    3Watanuki Y.Blockx A.1 : 2
    4Uchiyama Y. (6)Daniel T. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Rodionov J.Bellucci M. (3)2 : 0
    2Blockx A.Daniel T. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Rodionov J.Blockx A.0 : 2