Result
2:1
25/02/2026 at 08:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 74% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 76% (44/58) | 75% (51/68) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 61% (20/33) | 38% (9/24) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 71% (5/7) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 25% (17/68) | 24% (14/58) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 39% (13/33) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 33% (1/3) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 38 | 20 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 36 | 39 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 77% (10/13) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (64/91) | 65% (60/92) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (32/92) | 30% (27/91) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (96/183) | 48% (87/183) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 93% (14/15) | 86% (12/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 7% (1/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 55% (16/29) | 45% (13/29) |
Chances of winning
Matej Dodig
50.5% | Timofey Skatov
49.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Matej Dodig - Timofey Skatov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.83) |
|
2 ↑
(1.91) |
3.2%
(7%) | |
What is the prediction for Matej Dodig - Timofey Skatov?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Dodig will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Skatov will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Skatov: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Dodig (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Skatov (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 Sets - Skatov (2.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Dodig (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Skatov (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Dodig is ranked ATP: 230. Skatov is ranked ATP: 192.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Dodig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Matej Dodig won against Timofey Skatov?
Matej Dodig has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Timofey Skatov won against Matej Dodig?
Timofey Skatov has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matej Dodig - Timofey Skatov were as follows:
Latest results of Matej Dodig
Latest results of Timofey Skatov
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Budkov Kjaer N. (1) | Bernet H. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cassone M. | Nesterov P. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Dodig M. | Forejtek J. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Gentzsch T. | Skatov T. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Sachko V. (4) | Brunclik P. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Basic M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Fatic N. | Moro Canas A. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Stricker D. (WC) | Grenier H. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Rybakov A. (LL) | Mrva M. (NG) | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Bertola R. | Mmoh M. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Gakhov I. | Piraino G. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Squire H. | Piros Z. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Holmgren A. (8) | Uchida K. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Brunold M. (WC) | Knaff A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Topo M. (RET.) | Huesler M. | 1 : 1 |
| 16 | Dietrich D. (Q) | Glinka D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Budkov Kjaer N. (1) | Nesterov P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Dodig M. | Skatov T. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Brunclik P. | Schwaerzler J. J. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Moro Canas A. | Stricker D. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Mrva M. | Mmoh M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gakhov I. | Piros Z. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Holmgren A. (8) | Brunold M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Huesler M. | Glinka D. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Budkov Kjaer N. (1) | Dodig M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Stricker D. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Mrva M. | Piros Z. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Brunold M. | Huesler M. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Dodig M. | Schwaerzler J. J. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Piros Z. (3) | Brunold M. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Piros Z. (3) | 1 : 2 |
