Result
 
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                        27/04/2025 at  09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Serie D - Group H - Round 33
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 23', 0 - 1, Bello B. ⚽, 
- 30', 1 - 1, Sanchez J. (Pen), 
- 40', 1 - 2, Giordani G. ⚽, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 78', Sanchez J. 🟥, 
- 79', Medina M. 🟥, 
- 84', 1 - 3, Di Piazza M. ⚽, 
- 90+2', 1 - 4, Sicurella G. ⚽, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Ugento 49.1%
 | Draw 26.5%
 | Matera 24.4%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ugento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ugento's performance.Matera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugento than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ugento that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matera than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Ugento - Matera Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.85 ↓ (2.34)
 | 3.42 ↑ (3.1)
 | 3.72 ↑ (2.94)
 | 10.2% (9%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Ugento - Matera?
                    
                    
                        
						        
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ugento (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 7). 
- The game of competitors is shaky now. 
- Ugento will have a poor advantage in this game.
 
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Ugento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Ugento won against Matera?
                    
                    
                        
                            Ugento has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Matera won against Ugento?
                    
                    
                        
                             Matera has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Ugento - Matera were as follows:
                                                        
                                15.12.2024 
                                Matera 
                                - 
                                Ugento 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Italian Serie D - Group H Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Citta di Fasano | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 20 | 
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 17 | 
| 3 | Paganese | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 16 | 
| 4 | Heraclea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 16 | 
| 5 | Fidelis Andria | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 | 
| 6 | Afragolese | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 | 
| 7 | Barletta | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 | 
| 8 | SS Nola 1925 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 11 | 
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 10 | 
| 10 | Manfredonia | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 10 | 
| 11 | Francavilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 | 
| 12 | Gravina | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 | 
| 13 | Sarnese | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 8 | 
| 14 | A.C.D. Nardo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 | 
| 15 | Real Normanna | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 | 
| 16 | Ferrandina | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 | 
| 17 | Pompei | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1:7 | -6 | 6 | 
| 18 | Acerrana | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 3 | 
      Promotion
      Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
      Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
      Relegation