Ugento vs Matera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group H Ugento - Matera
Result
1:4
27/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 33

Match Stats

Red Cards
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Bello B. ,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Sanchez J. (Pen),
  • 40', 1 - 2, Giordani G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 78', Sanchez J. 🟥,
  • 79', Medina M. 🟥,
  • 84', 1 - 3, Di Piazza M. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 4, Sicurella G. ,

Chances of winning


Ugento
49.1%
Draw
26.5%
Matera
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 29.6% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 29.5% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ugento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ugento's performance.
  • Matera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugento than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ugento that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matera than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ugento - Matera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.34)
    3.42
    (3.1)
    3.72
    (2.94)
    10.2%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Ugento - Matera?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ugento (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 7).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Ugento will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Ugento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ugento - Matera were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Matera - Ugento 1:0
    Latest results of Ugento
    17.04.2025 Città di Fasano - Ugento 0:2
    13.04.2025 Ugento - Martina Calcio 2:0
    30.03.2025 Ugento - Casarano 2:3
    09.03.2025 Ugento - Gravina 1:0
    Latest results of Matera
    17.04.2025 Matera - Angri 3:1
    06.04.2025 Costa D`Amalfi - Matera 4:2
    23.03.2025 Città di Fasano - Matera 6:1
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1