Result
1:4
27/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group H - Round 33
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 23', 0 - 1, Bello B. ⚽,
- 30', 1 - 1, Sanchez J. (Pen),
- 40', 1 - 2, Giordani G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 78', Sanchez J. 🟥,
- 79', Medina M. 🟥,
- 84', 1 - 3, Di Piazza M. ⚽,
- 90+2', 1 - 4, Sicurella G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ugento 49.1% | Draw 26.5% | Matera 24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ugento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ugento's performance.Matera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugento than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ugento that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matera than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ugento - Matera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.85 ↓ (2.34) |
3.42 ↑ (3.1) |
3.72 ↑ (2.94) |
10.2% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ugento - Matera?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ugento (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.75 - Ugento (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ugento (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 7).
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Ugento will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Ugento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
How many head-to-head matches has Ugento won against Matera?
Ugento has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Matera won against Ugento?
Matera has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ugento - Matera were as follows:
15.12.2024
Matera
-
Ugento
1:0
Italian Serie D - Group H Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barletta | 31 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 48:18 | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 59 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 44:33 | 11 | 56 |
| 4 | Paganese | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 55 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 31 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 49 |
| 6 | Afragolese | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Virtus Francavilla | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42:31 | 11 | 47 |
| 8 | Gravina | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40:38 | 2 | 46 |
| 9 | Fidelis Andria | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
| 10 | Sarnese | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Real Normanna | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 23:23 | 0 | 39 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | SS Nola 1925 | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 40:44 | -4 | 37 |
| 14 | Francavilla | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 27:33 | -6 | 35 |
| 16 | Ferrandina | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 19:41 | -22 | 26 |
| 17 | Pompei | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 17:35 | -18 | 25 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 31 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 18:66 | -48 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
Relegation