Mateus Alves vs Bernard Tomic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Bogota Challenger Men Mateus Alves - Bernard Tomic
Result
2:1
09/08/2024 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota (Colombia), clay - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Rocha A. (Bra)

Match Stats

Aces
154
Double Faults
11
1st Serve Percentage
61%70%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (46/62)68% (42/62)
2nd Serve Points Won
49% (19/39)50% (13/26)
Break Points Saved
64% (7/11)60% (6/10)
1st Return Points Won
35% (22/62)26% (16/62)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (13/26)51% (20/39)
Break Points Converted
40% (4/10)36% (4/11)
Max Points In Row
88
Service Points Won
64% (64/100)62% (54/87)
Return Points Won
38% (33/87)36% (36/100)
Total Points Won
52% (97/187)48% (90/187)
Max Games In Row
44
Service Games Won
73% (11/15)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)27% (4/15)
Total Games Won
52% (15/29)48% (14/29)

Chances of winning


Mateus Alves
62.3%
Bernard Tomic
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mateus Alves's performance.
  • Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bernard Tomic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mateus Alves that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bernard Tomic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mateus Alves - Bernard Tomic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.71)

    2.5
    (2.04)
    6.6%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Mateus Alves - Bernard Tomic?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Alves will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tomic will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alves: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Alves is ranked ATP: 356. Tomic is ranked ATP: 237.
    • Now both players are in good shape.
    • Tomic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mateus Alves
    Latest results of Bernard Tomic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Mejia N. (1)Bertran P.2 : 0
    2Rodrigues P. (Q)Roncadelli F.2 : 0
    3Kuzuhara B.Rodriguez L. J.0 : 2
    4Monzon I. (Q)Alvarez Varona N. (5)0 : 2
    5McCormick T. (LL)Aboian L.1 : 2
    6Gomez J. S. (Q)Barreiros Reyes M. (Q)0 : 2
    7Cid Subervi R.Pannu K.2 : 0
    8Price S. (WC)Sakamoto P. (7)0 : 2
    9Alves M. (6)Casanova H.1 : 2
    10Nunez D. A. (Q)Tobon M. (WC)1 : 2
    11Soriano Barrera A.Heredia S. (WC)2 : 1
    12Kolar Z.Sell K. (3)2 : 1
    13Olivo R. (8)Kypson P.0 : 2
    14Huertas Del Pino Cordova A. (PR)Rodriguez J. A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Boscardin Dias P.Ambrogi L. E.2 : 0
    16Ejupovic E.Soto M. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Mejia N. (1)Rodrigues P.1 : 2
    2Rodriguez L. J.Alvarez Varona N. (5)0 : 2
    3Aboian L.Barreiros Reyes M.0 : 2
    4Cid Subervi R.Sakamoto P. (7)1 : 2
    5Casanova H.Tobon M.2 : 0
    6Soriano Barrera A.Kolar Z.0 : 2
    7Kypson P.Rodriguez J. A.2 : 0
    8Boscardin Dias P.Ejupovic E.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Rodrigues P.Alvarez Varona N. (5)2 : 0
    2Barreiros Reyes M.Sakamoto P. (7)1 : 2
    3Casanova H.Kolar Z.2 : 1
    4Kypson P.Ejupovic E.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rodrigues P.Sakamoto P. (7)1 : 2
    2Casanova H.Kypson P.1 : 2

    Final
    1Sakamoto P. (7)Kypson P.0 : 2