Hugo Dellien vs Mateus Alves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Curitiba Challenger Men Hugo Dellien - Mateus Alves
Result
2:1
14/10/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Curitiba, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
511
Double Faults
15
1st Serve Percentage
73%58%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (50/71)76% (47/62)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (11/26)41% (18/44)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)50% (4/8)
1st Return Points Won
24% (15/62)30% (21/71)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (26/44)58% (15/26)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
63% (61/97)61% (65/106)
Return Points Won
39% (41/106)37% (36/97)
Total Points Won
50% (102/203)50% (101/203)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
75% (12/16)75% (12/16)
Return Games Won
25% (4/16)25% (4/16)
Total Games Won
50% (16/32)50% (16/32)

Chances of winning


Hugo Dellien
58.7%
Mateus Alves
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.3% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hugo Dellien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hugo Dellien's form might have worsened.
  • Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mateus Alves's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Dellien than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Dellien, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mateus Alves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hugo Dellien - Mateus Alves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.4)

    2.31
    (2.75)
    6.3%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Hugo Dellien - Mateus Alves?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alves (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Mateus Alves will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Dellien is ranked ATP: 129. Alves is ranked ATP: 428.
    • Recent form of Dellien has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Alves is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Alves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Dellien is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Alves will win today's game, with odds of 2.76.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dellien won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hugo Dellien - Mateus Alves were as follows:
    24.09.2024 Mateus Alves - Hugo Dellien 0:2
    Latest results of Hugo Dellien
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Vallejo D.0 : 2
    2Collarini A.Soto M. (Alt)1 : 2
    3Tobon M. (Q)Dellien Velasco M. A.1 : 2
    4Reis Da Silva J.Barrios Vera T. (6)1 : 2
    5Dellien H. (4)Alves M. (Q)2 : 1
    6Thanos A. (Q)Dutra Da Silva D. (LL)0 : 2
    7Pucinelli de Almeida M. (Alt)Hernandez A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Schiessl J. E. (WC)Barrena A. (8)2 : 0
    9Burruchaga R. A. (5)Miguel L. (WC)2 : 0
    10Diaz Acosta F.Guillen Meza A.2 : 0
    11Sanchez Izquierdo N. (Alt)Bueno G.0 : 2
    12Kicker N. (Alt)Monteiro T. (9)1 : 2
    13Ficovich J. P. (7)Pacheco Mendez R.1 : 2
    14Heide G. (Q)Prado Angelo J. C.1 : 2
    15Ribeiro E. (WC)Boscardin Dias P. (Q)1 : 2
    16Rodriguez Taverna S.Tirante T. A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Vallejo D.Soto M.2 : 0
    2Dellien Velasco M. A.Barrios Vera T. (6)0 : 2
    3Dellien H. (4)Dutra Da Silva D.0 : 2
    4Hernandez A.Schiessl J. E.1 : 2
    5Burruchaga R. A. (5)Diaz Acosta F.2 : 0
    6Bueno G.Monteiro T. (9)2 : 0
    7Pacheco Mendez R.Prado Angelo J. C.0 : 2
    8Boscardin Dias P.Tirante T. A. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Vallejo D.Barrios Vera T. (6)2 : 1
    2Dutra Da Silva D.Schiessl J. E.0 : 2
    3Burruchaga R. A. (5)Bueno G.2 : 0
    4Prado Angelo J. C.Boscardin Dias P.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Vallejo D.Schiessl J. E.2 : 0
    2Burruchaga R. A. (5)Boscardin Dias P.1 : 2

    Final
    1Vallejo D.Boscardin Dias P.2 : 0