Result
2:1
14/10/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Curitiba, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 73% | 58% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (50/71) | 76% (47/62) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 41% (18/44) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 50% (4/8) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 24% (15/62) | 30% (21/71) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (26/44) | 58% (15/26) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 57% (4/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (61/97) | 61% (65/106) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (41/106) | 37% (36/97) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (102/203) | 50% (101/203) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 75% (12/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 25% (4/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (16/32) | 50% (16/32) |
Chances of winning
Hugo Dellien 58.7% | Mateus Alves 41.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hugo Dellien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hugo Dellien's form might have worsened.Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mateus Alves's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Dellien than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Dellien, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mateus Alves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hugo Dellien - Mateus Alves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.59 ↑ (1.4) |
|
2.31 ↓ (2.75) |
6.3% (7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Hugo Dellien - Mateus Alves?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alves (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Mateus Alves will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Dellien is ranked ATP: 129. Alves is ranked ATP: 428.
- Recent form of Dellien has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alves is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Alves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Dellien is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Alves will win today's game, with odds of 2.76.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dellien won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Hugo Dellien won against Mateus Alves?
Hugo Dellien has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mateus Alves won against Hugo Dellien?
Mateus Alves has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hugo Dellien - Mateus Alves were as follows:
24.09.2024
Mateus Alves
-
Hugo Dellien
0:2
Latest results of Hugo Dellien
Latest results of Mateus Alves
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Nava E. (1) | Vallejo D. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Collarini A. | Soto M. (Alt) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Tobon M. (Q) | Dellien Velasco M. A. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Reis Da Silva J. | Barrios Vera T. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Dellien H. (4) | Alves M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Thanos A. (Q) | Dutra Da Silva D. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Pucinelli de Almeida M. (Alt) | Hernandez A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Schiessl J. E. (WC) | Barrena A. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Burruchaga R. A. (5) | Miguel L. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Diaz Acosta F. | Guillen Meza A. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. (Alt) | Bueno G. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Kicker N. (Alt) | Monteiro T. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Ficovich J. P. (7) | Pacheco Mendez R. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Heide G. (Q) | Prado Angelo J. C. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Ribeiro E. (WC) | Boscardin Dias P. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Rodriguez Taverna S. | Tirante T. A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Vallejo D. | Soto M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Dellien Velasco M. A. | Barrios Vera T. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Dellien H. (4) | Dutra Da Silva D. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Hernandez A. | Schiessl J. E. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Burruchaga R. A. (5) | Diaz Acosta F. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Bueno G. | Monteiro T. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Pacheco Mendez R. | Prado Angelo J. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Boscardin Dias P. | Tirante T. A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Vallejo D. | Barrios Vera T. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Dutra Da Silva D. | Schiessl J. E. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Burruchaga R. A. (5) | Bueno G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Prado Angelo J. C. | Boscardin Dias P. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Vallejo D. | Schiessl J. E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Burruchaga R. A. (5) | Boscardin Dias P. | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Vallejo D. | Boscardin Dias P. | 2 : 0 |