Mateus Alves vs Igor Marcondes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Cuiaba Men Mateus Alves - Igor Marcondes
Result
2:1
14/09/2025 at 17:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Cuiaba, clay - Final

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
82

Chances of winning


Mateus Alves
51.5%
Igor Marcondes
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mateus Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mateus Alves's form might have worsened.
  • Igor Marcondes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Igor Marcondes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mateus Alves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igor Marcondes than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Igor Marcondes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mateus Alves - Igor Marcondes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.57)

    1.98
    (2.25)
    4%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Alves is ranked ATP: 507. Marcondes is ranked ATP: 716.
    • Alves is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Marcondes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Alves might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alves won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    Latest results of Mateus Alves
    Latest results of Igor Marcondes
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Prado Angelo J. C. (1)Pinto L.2 : 0
    2Gimenez I.Carvalho G. A.2 : 0
    3Monzon I.Estevez J.0 : 2
    4Grippo V.Alves M. (6)0 : 2
    5Boscardin Dias P. (3)De C. D. L. E.2 : 0
    6Malla B.Tosetto R.2 : 0
    7Storck F. L.Leite W.1 : 2
    8Spiering M.Kuzuhara B. (8)0 : 2
    9Saraiva Dos Santos P. A. (7)Cundom J.2 : 0
    10Schenekenberg G.Noatto K.2 : 0
    11Marcondes I.Heredia S.2 : 0
    12Fernandez B.Dutra Da Silva D. (4)0 : 2
    13Sakamoto P. (5)Braga V.2 : 0
    14Mbithi M.Price S.1 : 2
    15Rodrigues L.Camargo Lima E.0 : 2
    16Zarate C. M.Heide G. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Prado Angelo J. C. (1)Gimenez I.2 : 0
    2Estevez J.Alves M. (6)0 : 2
    3Boscardin Dias P. (3)Malla B.2 : 0
    4Leite W.Kuzuhara B. (8)0 : 2
    5Saraiva Dos Santos P. A. (7)Schenekenberg G.2 : 0
    6Marcondes I.Dutra Da Silva D. (4)2 : 0
    7Sakamoto P. (5)Price S.2 : 0
    8Camargo Lima E.Heide G. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Prado Angelo J. C. (1)Alves M. (6)1 : 2
    2Boscardin Dias P. (3)Kuzuhara B. (8)1 : 2
    3Saraiva Dos Santos P. A. (RET.) (7)Marcondes I.0 : 1
    4Sakamoto P. (5)Heide G. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Alves M. (6)Kuzuhara B. (8)2 : 0
    2Marcondes I.Sakamoto P. (5)2 : 0

    Final
    1Alves M. (6)Marcondes I.2 : 1