Mateus Alves vs Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis San Luis Potosi Challenger Men Mateus Alves - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
Result
2:0
14/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Luis Potosi, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
011
1st Serve Percentage
58%49%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (29/39)68% (30/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (16/28)47% (21/45)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)73% (8/11)
1st Return Points Won
32% (14/44)31% (12/39)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (24/45)43% (12/28)
Break Points Converted
27% (3/11)67% (2/3)
Service Points Won
67% (45/67)57% (48/84)
Return Points Won
43% (36/84)33% (22/67)
Total Points Won
54% (81/151)46% (70/151)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
82% (9/11)73% (8/11)
Return Games Won
27% (3/11)18% (2/11)
Total Games Won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Mateus Alves
68.3%
Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 39.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mateus Alves's performance.
  • Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mateus Alves that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mateus Alves - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.5)

    2.93
    (2.48)
    7.3%
    (7.1%)
    What is the prediction for Mateus Alves - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alves will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Aguilar will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aguilar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Alves is ranked ATP: 334. Aguilar is ranked ATP: 473.
    • Alves has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Aguilar is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Aguilar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Alves will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mateus Alves
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)De Alba R. (Q)2 : 0
    2Neuchrist M.McCormick T. (Q)2 : 0
    3Perez A. (Alt)Watt J. (Q)2 : 0
    4Pannu K. (Alt)Pacheco Mendez R. (5)0 : 2
    5Corwin F. (LL)Martin D. (Q)0 : 2
    6Cressy M.Paris T.0 : 2
    7Alves M.Aguilar J. C. M.2 : 0
    8Johns G.Soto M. (6)0 : 2
    9Zahraj P. (8)Tudorica A. N.2 : 0
    10Mayo A.Tobon M. (Q)0 : 2
    11Kingsley C. (Q)Cid Subervi R.1 : 2
    12Janvier M.Ficovich J. P. (4)1 : 2
    13Mejia N. (7)Hernandez A. (WC)2 : 0
    14Pavlovic L.Rodriguez Taverna S.1 : 2
    15Alujas R. (WC)Oberleitner N.2 : 0
    16Wiskandt M. (Alt)Mannarino A. (WC)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Neuchrist M.2 : 0
    2Perez A.Pacheco Mendez R. (5)2 : 0
    3Martin D.Paris T.2 : 0
    4Alves M.Soto M. (6)2 : 0
    5Zahraj P. (RET.) (8)Tobon M.1 : 1
    6Cid Subervi R.Ficovich J. P. (4)0 : 2
    7Mejia N. (7)Rodriguez Taverna S.0 : 2
    8Alujas R.Wiskandt M.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Perez A.2 : 0
    2Martin D.Alves M.2 : 1
    3Tobon M.Ficovich J. P. (4)0 : 2
    4Rodriguez Taverna S.Wiskandt M.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Martin D.2 : 0
    2Ficovich J. P. (4)Wiskandt M.0 : 2

    Final
    1Duckworth J. (1)Wiskandt M.2 : 0