Mateus Alves vs Karue Sell – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Curitiba Challenger Men Mateus Alves - Karue Sell
Result
2:1
24/10/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Curitiba (Brazil), clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
98
Double Faults
02
1st Serve Percentage
79%53%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (52/70)71% (37/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
68% (13/19)60% (28/47)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
29% (15/52)26% (18/70)
2nd Return Points Won
40% (19/47)32% (6/19)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
73% (65/89)65% (64/98)
Return Points Won
35% (34/98)27% (24/89)
Total Points Won
53% (99/187)47% (88/187)
Last 10 Balls
91
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)82% (14/17)
Return Games Won
18% (3/17)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
48% (16/33)52% (17/33)

Chances of winning


Mateus Alves
35.8%
Karue Sell
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 57.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mateus Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mateus Alves's form might have worsened.
  • Karue Sell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karue Sell's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mateus Alves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karue Sell than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karue Sell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mateus Alves - Karue Sell Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.18)

    1.46
    (1.6)
    7.1%
    (8.3%)
    What is the prediction for Mateus Alves - Karue Sell?
  • Users Predictions: Karue Sell will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Alves is ranked ATP: 292. Sell is ranked ATP: 262.
    • Recent matches Alves is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Sell is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Sell could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Sell will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Our prediction for today's Sell to win the game is with odds 1.57.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mateus Alves
    Latest results of Karue Sell
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Vallejo D.0 : 2
    2Collarini A.Soto M. (Alt)1 : 2
    3Tobon M. (Q)Dellien Velasco M. A.1 : 2
    4Reis Da Silva J.Barrios Vera T. (6)1 : 2
    5Dellien H. (4)Alves M. (Q)2 : 1
    6Thanos A. (Q)Dutra Da Silva D. (LL)0 : 2
    7Pucinelli de Almeida M. (Alt)Hernandez A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Schiessl J. E. (WC)Barrena A. (8)2 : 0
    9Burruchaga R. A. (5)Miguel L. (WC)2 : 0
    10Diaz Acosta F.Guillen Meza A.2 : 0
    11Sanchez Izquierdo N. (Alt)Bueno G.0 : 2
    12Kicker N. (Alt)Monteiro T. (9)1 : 2
    13Ficovich J. P. (7)Pacheco Mendez R.1 : 2
    14Heide G. (Q)Prado Angelo J. C.1 : 2
    15Ribeiro E. (WC)Boscardin Dias P. (Q)1 : 2
    16Rodriguez Taverna S.Tirante T. A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Vallejo D.Soto M.2 : 0
    2Dellien Velasco M. A.Barrios Vera T. (6)0 : 2
    3Dellien H. (4)Dutra Da Silva D.0 : 2
    4Hernandez A.Schiessl J. E.1 : 2
    5Burruchaga R. A. (5)Diaz Acosta F.2 : 0
    6Bueno G.Monteiro T. (9)2 : 0
    7Pacheco Mendez R.Prado Angelo J. C.0 : 2
    8Boscardin Dias P.Tirante T. A. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Vallejo D.Barrios Vera T. (6)2 : 1
    2Dutra Da Silva D.Schiessl J. E.0 : 2
    3Burruchaga R. A. (5)Bueno G.2 : 0
    4Prado Angelo J. C.Boscardin Dias P.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Vallejo D.Schiessl J. E.2 : 0
    2Burruchaga R. A. (5)Boscardin Dias P.1 : 2

    Final
    1Vallejo D.Boscardin Dias P.2 : 0