Mateus Alves vs Karue Sell – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Curitiba Challenger Men Mateus Alves - Karue Sell
Result
2:1
24/10/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Curitiba (Brazil), clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
98
Double Faults
02
1st Serve Percentage
79%53%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (52/70)71% (37/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
68% (13/19)60% (28/47)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
29% (15/52)26% (18/70)
2nd Return Points Won
40% (19/47)32% (6/19)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
73% (65/89)65% (64/98)
Return Points Won
35% (34/98)27% (24/89)
Total Points Won
53% (99/187)47% (88/187)
Last 10 Balls
91
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)82% (14/17)
Return Games Won
18% (3/17)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
48% (16/33)52% (17/33)

Chances of winning


Mateus Alves
35.8%
Karue Sell
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 57.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mateus Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mateus Alves's form might have worsened.
  • Karue Sell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karue Sell's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mateus Alves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karue Sell than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karue Sell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mateus Alves - Karue Sell Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.18)

    1.46
    (1.6)
    7.1%
    (8.3%)
    What is the prediction for Mateus Alves - Karue Sell?
  • Users Predictions: Karue Sell will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Alves is ranked ATP: 292. Sell is ranked ATP: 262.
    • Recent matches Alves is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Sell is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Sell could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Sell will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Our prediction for today's Sell to win the game is with odds 1.57.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mateus Alves
    Latest results of Karue Sell
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Barrios Vera T. (9)Villanueva G. (Q)2 : 0
    2Luz O. (Q)Heide G.0 : 2
    3Alves M. (Alt)Bueno G.2 : 0
    4Sell K.Rocha H. (7)2 : 0
    5Galan D. E. (3)Elias G. (Alt)1 : 2
    6Vallejo D.Mena F.2 : 1
    7Prado Angelo J. C. (Q)Pucinelli de Almeida M. (WC)1 : 2
    8Ambrogi L. E. (Q)Faria J. (5)1 : 2
    9Meligeni Alves F. (8)Sakamoto P.2 : 0
    10Ficovich J. P.Rodriguez Taverna S.2 : 0
    11Habib H.Midon L. (Q)2 : 0
    12Soto M. (Alt)Burruchaga R. A. (4)0 : 2
    13Cerundolo J. M. (6)Varillas J. P.2 : 0
    14Boyer T.Leite W. (WC)2 : 0
    15Reis Da Silva J. (Q)Guillen Meza A.0 : 2
    16Pereira J. (WC)Dellien H. (RET.) (2)1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Barrios Vera T. (9)Heide G.1 : 2
    2Alves M.Sell K.2 : 1
    3Elias G.Vallejo D. (RET.)1 : 1
    4Pucinelli de Almeida M.Faria J. (5)0 : 2
    5Meligeni Alves F. (8)Ficovich J. P.2 : 1
    6Habib H.Burruchaga R. A. (4)0 : 2
    7Cerundolo J. M. (6)Boyer T.2 : 0
    8Guillen Meza A.Pereira J.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Heide G.Alves M.2 : 1
    2Elias G.Faria J. (5)1 : 2
    3Meligeni Alves F. (8)Burruchaga R. A. (4)2 : 1
    4Cerundolo J. M. (6)Guillen Meza A.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Heide G.Faria J. (5)0 : 2
    2Meligeni Alves F. (8)Cerundolo J. M. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Faria J. (5)Meligeni Alves F. (8)2 : 0