Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
23/10/2025 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Costa do Sauipe, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
51%65%
1st Serve Points Won
55% (28/51)59% (41/69)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (28/49)35% (13/37)
Break Points Saved
45% (5/11)25% (2/8)
1st Return Points Won
41% (28/69)45% (23/51)
2nd Return Points Won
65% (24/37)43% (21/49)
Break Points Converted
75% (6/8)55% (6/11)
Service Points Won
56% (56/100)51% (54/106)
Return Points Won
49% (52/106)44% (44/100)
Total Points Won
52% (108/206)48% (98/206)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
57% (8/14)57% (8/14)
Return Games Won
43% (6/14)43% (6/14)
Total Games Won
50% (14/28)50% (14/28)

Chances of winning


Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
30.3%
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
69.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.1% 68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 71%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (3.01)

    1.34
    (1.36)
    6.9%
    (6.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 316. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 118.
    • Recent performances by Pucinelli De Almeida have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Barrios Vera is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Pucinelli De Almeida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Barrios Vera is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Barrios Vera will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pucinelli De Almeida won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera were as follows:
    17.10.2024 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera 0:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Navone M. (1)Habib H.2 : 0
    2Boscardin Dias P. (SE)Ficovich J. P.2 : 0
    3Miguel L. (WC)Collarini A. (Q)1 : 2
    4Olivieri G. A.Garin C. (6)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (4)Barrena A.2 : 1
    6Diaz Acosta F. (Alt)Kolar Z.2 : 0
    7Gimenez I. (Q)Vallejo D. (SE)0 : 2
    8Pucinelli de Almeida M. (Q)Barrios Vera T. (7)2 : 1
    9Taberner C. (5)Villanueva G. (Q)2 : 1
    10Monteiro T.Prado Angelo J. C.0 : 2
    11Bueno G.Alves M. (Q)2 : 1
    12Pacheco Mendez R.Nava E. (3)0 : 2
    13Burruchaga R. A. (9)Schiessl J. E. (WC)2 : 0
    14Reis Da Silva J.Rodriguez Taverna S.1 : 2
    15Gomez F. A.Heide G. (WC)1 : 2
    16Gima S. (Q)Cerundolo J. M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Navone M. (1)Boscardin Dias P.2 : 0
    2Collarini A.Garin C. (6)1 : 2
    3Tirante T. A. (4)Diaz Acosta F.2 : 0
    4Vallejo D.Pucinelli de Almeida M.2 : 0
    5Taberner C. (5)Prado Angelo J. C.1 : 2
    6Bueno G.Nava E. (3)0 : 2
    7Burruchaga R. A. (9)Rodriguez Taverna S.2 : 1
    8Heide G.Cerundolo J. M. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Navone M. (1)Garin C. (6)0 : 2
    2Tirante T. A. (4)Vallejo D.0 : 2
    3Prado Angelo J. C.Nava E. (3)2 : 0
    4Burruchaga R. A. (9)Cerundolo J. M. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Garin C. (RET.) (6)Vallejo D.0 : 1
    2Prado Angelo J. C.Burruchaga R. A. (9)0 : 2

    Final
    1Vallejo D.Burruchaga R. A. (9)0 : 2