Result
2:1
08/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santos, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (34/51) | 65% (26/40) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (23/46) | 37% (17/46) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 50% (6/12) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (14/40) | 33% (17/51) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (29/46) | 50% (23/46) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 18% (2/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (57/97) | 50% (43/86) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (43/86) | 41% (40/97) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (100/183) | 45% (83/183) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 50% (6/12) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 17% (2/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (16/24) | 33% (8/24) |
Chances of winning
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
63% | Nicolas Alvarez Varona
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's performance.Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Alvarez Varona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (-11.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Alvarez Varona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.68) |
|
2.49 ↑
(2.09) |
7.1%
(7.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Nicolas Alvarez Varona?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Pucinelli De Almeida will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 306. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 314.
- Pucinelli De Almeida is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Alvarez Varona's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Alvarez Varona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won against Nicolas Alvarez Varona?
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nicolas Alvarez Varona won against Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida?
Nicolas Alvarez Varona has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Nicolas Alvarez Varona were as follows:
Latest results of Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Latest results of Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Guillen Meza A. (1) | Kolar Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kuzuhara B. (Q) | Huertas Del Pino C. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Bicknell B. (PR) | Olivo R. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Huertas Del Pino Cordova A. (Q) | Prado Angelo J. C. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Soto M. (3) | Sakamoto P. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Kohlmann E. (RET.) (WC) | Roncadelli F. | 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Villanueva G. | Alves M. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Malacarne B. (WC) | Torres J. B. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Olivieri G. A. (8) | Reis Da Silva J. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Midon L. | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Ribeiro E. (WC) | Pucinelli de Almeida M. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Alvarez Varona N. | Bueno G. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Rodriguez Taverna S. (RET.) (5) | Casanova H. (Alt) | 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Leite W. (Q) | Kicker N. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Pereira J. (Q) | Boscardin Dias P. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Mager G. (Alt) | Varillas J. P. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Guillen Meza A. (1) | Kuzuhara B. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Olivo R. | Prado Angelo J. C. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Soto M. (3) | Roncadelli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Villanueva G. | Torres J. B. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Olivieri G. A. (8) | Midon L. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Pucinelli de Almeida M. | Alvarez Varona N. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Casanova H. | Kicker N. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Boscardin Dias P. | Mager G. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Guillen Meza A. (1) | Olivo R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Roncadelli F. | Villanueva G. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Midon L. | Pucinelli de Almeida M. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Kicker N. | Mager G. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Guillen Meza A. (1) | Roncadelli F. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Pucinelli de Almeida M. | Kicker N. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Guillen Meza A. (1) | Pucinelli de Almeida M. | 2 : 0 |
