Mathias Bourgue vs Michael Vrbensky – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M15 Bucharest Men Mathias Bourgue - Michael Vrbensky
Result
2:0
12/02/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bucharest (Romania), clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
64

Chances of winning


Mathias Bourgue
60.6%
Michael Vrbensky
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mathias Bourgue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mathias Bourgue's performance.
  • Michael Vrbensky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Vrbensky might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Vrbensky than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Mathias Bourgue - Michael Vrbensky Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.7)

    2.37
    (2.1)
    7.1%
    (6.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Bourgue is ranked ATP: 528. Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 380.
    • Recent matches Bourgue is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Vrbensky is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Vrbensky could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Bourgue will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mathias Bourgue
    Latest results of Michael Vrbensky
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Boitan G. A. (1)Pieleanu R. T.2 : 0
    2Ehrenschneider N.Berkieta T.2 : 0
    3Golescu R. A.Pavel B.0 : 2
    4Ghetu G.Added D. (5)1 : 2
    5Nesterov P. (3)Andreescu S. A.2 : 0
    6Haita S. H.Alam P.2 : 1
    7Guna R.Lumsden E.1 : 2
    8Anderson O.Guerrieri A. (7)0 : 2
    9Hudd E. (8)Tammaro M.0 : 2
    10Massard L.Bilardo J.2 : 1
    11Catry R.Turcanu R. D.2 : 0
    12Haliak M.Tomescu D. A. (4)2 : 0
    13Palosi S. (6)Giunta M.1 : 2
    14De Jonge D.Uta D.2 : 0
    15Stewart H.Preda L.2 : 1
    16Bourgue M.Vrbensky M. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Boitan G. A. (RET.) (1)Ehrenschneider N.1 : 1
    2Pavel B.Added D. (5)0 : 2
    3Nesterov P. (3)Haita S. H. (RET.)0 : 0
    4Lumsden E.Guerrieri A. (7)0 : 2
    5Tammaro M.Massard L.0 : 2
    6Catry R.Haliak M.2 : 1
    7Giunta M.De Jonge D.0 : 2
    8Stewart H.Bourgue M.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Ehrenschneider N.Added D. (5)2 : 1
    2Nesterov P. (3)Guerrieri A. (7)2 : 1
    3Massard L.Catry R.2 : 0
    4De Jonge D.Stewart H.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Ehrenschneider N.Nesterov P. (3)2 : 0
    2Massard L.Stewart H.0 : 2

    Final
    1Ehrenschneider N.Stewart H.0 : 2